What would happen to oil if the Sauds admit to having peaked out oil production?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by mahram, Jul 18, 2005.

  1. just21

    just21

    #21     Jul 19, 2005
  2. just21

    just21

    New York Mercantile Exchange data show 6,900 options contracts outstanding that allow buyers to purchase oil for December delivery at $80 a barrel, compared with an average of 77 contracts in January. The probability that oil will top $75 a barrel when the December crude contract expires is 21 percent, according to Adam Sieminski and Michael Lewis, strategists at Deutsche Bank AG, up from 5 percent at the start of the year.

    http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000006&sid=aE6weWi_eeVc&refer=home


    Now when are IB going to release the IPE Brent crude options so i can sell these $80 options?
     
    #22     Jul 19, 2005
  3. If you read the article, he's skeptical that the Saudis can sustain a production increase of more than 50% in less than a decade. That has nothing to do with a production peak, it is just an unsustainable rate of supply generation.

    Martin
     
    #23     Jul 19, 2005
  4. So on the one hand the Saudis are running out of oil and hiding it from the market, on the other hand they are responsible for inflating prices? Maybe your two sources, al-Husseini and Yamani, should sit down and have a chat.

    Martin
     
    #24     Jul 19, 2005