China is going bankrupt for longer if they do not negotiate and are hit harder by tariffs. They cannot afford a real trade war for longer. They have many internal problems, just look on their real estate sector. Their country is going ruined if they are hit hard in economy. It maybe not as hard as just a few years ago, but they are still highly vulnerable. It seems many have not read what is going in China. You can expect that Mexico, Canada, Vietnam, Taiwan(, Israel) and EU will be solved within 2 months. There will be deals is my opinion based on what I heard and read. Then there is only China left, the other ones are too small to have any larger effects. And the big chunk is already solved with EU and Mexico, Canada.
hate china you may, but that is not the reality. wake up, take a trip to other places and see. on the sinister note, if they feel they are going to die, they will take down the world by starting an invasion of taiwan and cut off tainwan strait.
Backwards logic. The country that has the most to lose ............ is the country with the most. Corporate America gets more of its sales/revenue/profits outside the U.S. tRump will fold like a cheap suit, but not likely till he crushes the economy here and abroad.
Soxl will probably do a 1 for 5 reverse split. I honestly can say that these triple etfs if you can hold on long enough after they have risen to unbelievable heights. If you can cost average in on the short side you can pretty much bank free money... I'm short USD. Went short in May of 2024...it kept rising and rising. I kept holding and holding....I refused to sell knowing these ultra etfs always fall extremely hard in times like this. Well it sold off and now I'm all green. Not selling anytime soon as I know it will be down to single digits once the nasdaq slices though 10k. Now what I would do is if soxs starts to really explode higher...buy puts. 3x short etfs that rise up 100 to 200% in a month can easily lose 50% of their value in a week once we get one of bear market rallies.
Problem with your analysis is that Trump (and us) is winning!! This morning... 50 counties already reached out. Last week... paywall... https://www.ft.com/content/0431ef42-7386-4e19-935e-a06ae40f474c Brief highlight of paywall article... Vietnam — Following the announcement of a nearly 50 percent tariff on their imports, Vietnam has immediately entered negotiations with the White House. President Trump reported a “very productive call” with Vietnam’s Communist Party General Secretary To Lam, during which Lam expressed a willingness to reduce tariffs to zero contingent on the signing of a free trade agreement. India — India has initiated discussions with the U.S. to address the trade barriers. Officials are reportedly exploring the possibility of reducing or eliminating tariffs on certain U.S. imports and increasing purchases of American goods. Israel — Israel wants to negotiate terms and potentially secure exemptions or reductions and has already agreed to scrap all its tariffs on U.S. imports. Prime Minister Netanyahu will further discuss the issue with Trump on Monday. European Union (27 countries) — The EU has proposed lowering car tariffs and increasing purchases of U.S. energy and military equipment in an effort to negotiate exemptions and reductions. Trump has long complained about the EU’s unwilligness to buy American cars. Japan — Japan has signaled a willingness to negotiate by pledging increased imports of U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) and investments in artificial intelligence. South Korea — South Korea is looking at possible trade concessions that would involve leveraging strategic sectors like semiconductors to reach a favorable agreement. Thailand — Facing the prospect of billions in losses, the Thai government is planning to increase imports from the U.S. and reduce tariffs on American products to address the trade imbalance.
Back to the thread topic... Personally, on Friday, I added an initial/partial position of IJH (S&P Midcap 400) into a retirement account. I don't want more Mag7, etc. I feel Midcaps could be a sort of sweet spot.
perhaps, the absurd part is that the best we and these countries "can" do is back to where we were last wednesday im/ex wise, without the 699.25 es high to low. you don't think that is funny? and "mismanage" if you can use the word "manage" to describe the stupidity