What really happened ....11 september

Discussion in 'Politics' started by NickBarings, Dec 5, 2006.


  1. Whatever, you are the "man"...:p

    Good luck finding someone to "debate" with you on this dying
    boring, re-hashing, paranoid about 9/11 thread...

    V77.... over and out.
     
    #731     Jan 11, 2007
  2. man

    man

    thnx. good that we both end it before we waste time of both of
    us. truly appreciate it.
    take care.
     
    #732     Jan 11, 2007
  3. dpt

    dpt

    Sorry, this reply is long.

    I thought it necessary to quote two levels of discussion, since otherwise it
    would be too hard to follow what's being discussed. Also had to break it into
    multiple posts to avoid 10,000 character restriction.

    Remember that what I said here was in response to man's suggestion that if
    point heating of the steel beams were a significant factor in initiating the
    collapse of the towers, then we would surely expect that more steel frame
    buildings would have suffered total collapse due to fire in the past. My
    major point here is that the design of the buildings is in many respects
    unique and that they are not easily comparable to other steel frame buildings.
    This is not an assumption on my part. This is simple fact.

    So to reason, as man did, that other steel frame buildings having very
    different construction should have behaved the same way as the towers did in
    earlier fires that were caused by quite different mechanisms is simply a
    logical error.

    Your own statement that the buildings `were very tough' is purely qualitative,
    of course. To my knowledge: the towers were designed to survive a
    direct hit by a major hurricane, and some level of earthquake, that's correct.

    But also, to my knowledge, there is no evidence that `multiple' Boeing 707
    crashes were ever even considered during the design, and it sounds unlikely to
    me on the face of it. Surely no one would have imagined it very likely that
    multiple boeing 707s would ever crash into one tower. How many would
    `multiple' be, in any event? Would it be as many as 3 or 4, perhaps?

    There is reference made in documents that were kept on record with the
    Port Authority of New York to an `impact study' that was done of the crash of
    a single Boeing 707 into the towers. There's no specific documentation
    of the details of this study that has come to light. The conclusion was that
    only local structural damage to the towers, insufficient to cause their total
    collapse, would have resulted from the impact.

    This conclusion seems to have been borne out by the events on 9/11, since had
    the deflection of the buildings from vertical caused by the impact of either
    Boeing 767-200 (ER) been sufficient to damage either tower on floors very far
    away from the impact zone, then we should have expected both to see some
    serious immediate damage at distant points on the towers and probably also to
    see a collapse following the impact far more quickly than what occurred.

    It is certainly not clear that the combined effects of fire and local damage
    were looked into in this study, and it's not clear either what impact
    velocities were considered for the 707. So I think your assertion that `they
    were strong enough to withstand multiple boeing 707 crashes' is an assertion
    without basis in fact.
     
    #733     Jan 11, 2007
  4. dpt

    dpt



    What are you suggesting? That the entire weight of the building could still
    have been borne by the core if the perimeter tube were suddenly completely
    absent
    ?

    The core was designed to easily support the static weight of the
    building as long as the core columns were true and the horizontal forces on
    the columns remained balanced. In this case, a large fraction of the weight
    of the building was directed vertically down the core, compressing the core
    columns vertically. A significant fraction of the weight was also carried by
    the perimeter tube.

    Potential horizontal buckling of the core columns was actually a design
    concern. There was worry that the elevators, on passing rapidly up and down
    through the central core, might cause sufficient buckling of the interior
    columns to compromise the structural integrity. The elevator shafts were
    specially designed to deal with this worry.

    Here's a hypothetical collapse scenario, if the perimeter frame tube were
    suddenly totally removed.

    [0] The outer edges of all of the floors would move downwards under gravity,
    since there would be no remaining external attachment points for the floor
    support trusses. The downward fall of the floors would lead to enormous and
    unbalanced downward and outward pointing forces at all of the attachment
    points of the floor support trusses to the central core.

    [1] This would produce huge dynamic bending moments on the core columns, which
    would not remain true for long. Core columns, when sufficiently pulled out of
    line near the attachment points, assuming these didn't fail first, would fail,
    and the core would be gradually torn to pieces. The floors would fall off from
    the core, and while some of the core might remain standing at the end of the
    process, it would be severely weakened.

    Yet, firemen did not manage to extinguish the fires with just a couple of
    lines.

    I beg to differ with your assertion that there is no reason to believe the
    temperatures were high and the fire was strong. Some engineers studying the
    collapse have actually published papers arguing that the fires were hot,
    strong, and widespread enough to have eventually caused the collapse all on
    their own, even without the major structural damage that it is suggested the
    impacts caused.

    While the jet fuel was burning, certainly, high fire temperatures could be
    reached. Fires are evident externally on more than one floor in each tower.
    That is widespread by definition. We can't see all the way into the core, of
    course. But that is not grounds to suggest that there weren't strong,
    sustained and widespread fires there. It would certainly be expected that
    there would be. There was considerable combustible material on the planes and
    in the towers. The large amount of empty space in the building design would
    have allowed all of the debris to be swept directly in towards the core.


    Adequate is not the right word. I should have said intact rather than
    adequate. The insulation was theoretically adequate to protect major
    supporting columns for up to 3 hours in a fire naturally, assuming that it was
    intact and no metal was exposed directly to fire. These survival times
    were specified in the fire codes applicable at the time of design in 1962,
    which originated in 1938. In 1968, the requirements of the code were weakened
    by as much as an hour for certain interior structures, and the actual
    construction was according to the new code. (See executive summary of NIST
    report).

    There's good reason to believe that the crashes of the airliners could have
    stripped the insulation from various structural support members, exposing
    areas of bare steel to possibly high fire temperatures. The insulation on some
    structural members had been reduced from 2 inches to 1/2 inch during
    construction, it appears.
     
    #734     Jan 11, 2007
  5. dpt

    dpt

    What?!

    Sorry, but I have to wonder whether you have ever actually looked at the NIST
    report. What you say here is plainly wrong.

    I suggest taking a look at the report right now. Turn to page 175 (it's 229 in
    the pdf file) of NIST-NCSTAR1 (Draft). The pdf is available here:

    http://wtc.nist.gov/pubs/NISTNCSTAR1Draft.pdf


    Section 8.3 is titled Findings on the Mechanisms of Building Collapse.
    I'll quote a bit to make it easy:


    So the NIST theory is certainly that the crashes caused damage to the towers,
    as well as fires. It's the combination of these that eventually caused the
    collapses. Disbelieve the theory if you want, but the NIST clearly said that
    this is how the collapses were initiated, and that the crashes were partly
    responsible.
     
    #735     Jan 11, 2007
  6. dpt

    dpt

    Steel conducts heat, it's true, but if you keep on heating it at a given point
    for long enough you will set up a temperature gradient in the steel, with
    highest temperature at the point of heating. It's a question of conduction of
    heat versus rate of heating.

    Melted steel was not definitely found, I think. I have seen pictures of stuff
    at ground zero that maybe looks to me possibly like melted
    steel, pictures taken on days later than 9/11, but what is the evidence that
    this is actually melted structural steel and that it was melted on the first
    day? I'm not aware of anything solid to prove this.

    That evaporated steel was found in any significant amount is practically
    impossible to believe. The boiling point of iron is 2861 °C. I think it would
    take very special explosives or possibly electrical arcs to produce
    temperatures anything like that high.

    What's the actual evidence for the claim about the evaporated steel?
     
    #736     Jan 11, 2007
  7. dpt

    dpt

    So you agree that this collapse mechanism is a possibility.

    I agree that explosives would be a possible way of cutting the supports on one
    floor.

    I disagree that it would be very easy to do without getting caught, and I have
    problems understanding how one could know what floor to do the demolition work
    on in advance.

    After all the buildings collapse starting at those floors where they were hit
    by the aircraft. So one would either have to wire up many floors for
    demolition, or else tell the pilots almost exactly what floor to steer
    towards. And then, take a careful look at the paths that the airliners flew on
    before they hit the towers. One of them practically missed the South tower, it
    hit travelling on a wild curve, at one corner, and in a steep bank.

    Well, OK. You might think that it's harder than I say.

    But anyway you agree above that this is a possibility.

    I'm simply telling you that I actually have done this calculation for
    myself, and I'm also saying that it was not that hard for me to estimate what
    the dynamic stress would be in the best possible case for the chance of
    building survival (perfectly symmetric and uniform fall of the upper stories
    onto the lower stories).

    The only really difficult part was to know how stiff the structural steel is,
    and how much energy bending it might absorb, and to figure out how to model
    how the building's floors would respond when the upper part fell downwards and
    impacted on the bottom: what it's elastic properties are and so on.

    Structural engineers know that sort of thing really well, physicists don't :)

    I'm a reasonably good physicist, and I was able to think of a simple
    model (actually more than one) in which I could estimate the numbers by
    hand. It would be hard if one didn't know any physics.

    I would be happy to provide more detail on what I did if you don't believe
    this, but it turns out that some structural engineers who looked at the
    question came up with basically the same ideas as I did. The idea
    was actually published only very shortly after 9/11.


     
    #737     Jan 11, 2007
  8. dpt

    dpt



    Multiple jet airliners: I don't think these were ever considered.
    Hurricanes, definitely yes.

    The Madrid building did actually partly collapse, but it's true there was no
    total collapse, there. But the Madrid building is a much more standard design
    ... there are many more structural columns per unit area of space on the
    floors, and there is also much less open space on the floors. In addition,
    there was no airliner crash in Madrid, so the insulation on the beams may well
    have been in much better condition.

    That's not true, as you can see in the NIST report itself, referenced and
    quoted above.

    I don't see things the way you do.

    While I definitely agree with you that a relatively small number of cutter
    charges could have done the job, due to the inherent dynamical instability of
    the towers, I think that it's very hard to understand how this could be
    carried off in reality, without leaving a single trace, and without being
    discovered.

    Thanks very much for the links you provided, I
    will read more of them when I get more time.

    Cheers and good trading to you! Thanks also
    the effort put into your response.

    I'll respond to man later on.
     
    #738     Jan 11, 2007
  9. Cool. And thanks to you also man. Have a good trading day...:)
     
    #739     Jan 11, 2007
  10. wdscott

    wdscott

    NIST Reports, What expert findings?, Theories of collapse?

    All the metal debris of WTC1 and WTC2 and WTC7 was gathered, loaded onto cargo containers, and shipped to another country (possible China) for scrap.

    I guess without the ability to analyze the metals structural integrity, we will never know what caused the buildings to collapse.

    How can one write a theory, or conclude a finding, or make any opinion at all about those buildings. The evidence is gone.

    WD
     
    #740     Jan 11, 2007