What is up with this rally?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Ivanovich, Feb 13, 2008.

  1. Specterx

    Specterx

    My first guess would be retail sales (though the numbers weren't that great), though it is something of a mystery, the uptrend on the ES has been going steady since 3:40EST yesterday so I doubt today's news is the reason. Could be that the sell programs are primed, they're just waiting for some bad news to pull the trigger. Some of the selling would have been in anticipation of further big writedowns, poor earnings, trouble with the bond insurers etc. which hasn't quite come to pass. That said I think we'll have another week or so of flat or slightly up markets with a big selloff by month's end, to retest the lows.

    No idea why there would be unexpected/uncorrelated behavior in the 10yr markets, etc.
     
    #31     Feb 13, 2008
  2. Take a look at ES weekly fast stochastics and you'll see why!
    A reverse twin V head, Head and Shoulder indicating extreme accumulation or rather artificial support, causing the rally which will still continue well up into low 1400's and them will tank like never before!
     
    #32     Feb 13, 2008
  3. You're the one that doesn't know why the market has gone up and is searching for an answer and is now complaining when you get one.
    The market finally strung together three up days in a row and you can't understand why yet you dismiss the fact that it is a bear market rally. Maybe it can be said that The market yesterday interpreted the Buffet news as a positive and Today some good tech news. Bear Market rally.

    :)
     
    #33     Feb 13, 2008

  4. Don't forget the Roger Clemens Senate dog and pony show. I love how the guys sit up on the throne pontificating, priceless!!


    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/13/sports/baseball/13cnd-clemens.html?ref=sports
     
    #34     Feb 13, 2008
  5. piezoe

    piezoe

    Schrader and MVIC have it right. It's option expiration week guys. It is very common for there to be buying pressure in options expiration week. something to do with arbitrage and buying programs i guess. Let's wait until next week to see whether this is for real. In the meantime lets continue our brilliant trading and let the market do its thing..
     
    #35     Feb 13, 2008
  6. Real nice call!!
     
    #36     Feb 13, 2008
  7. Finally some wisdom. there is hope for ET after all.
     
    #37     Feb 13, 2008
  8. piezoe

    piezoe

    That and Datacrunchers prediction taken together is one of the most humorous posts i've encountered on ET (Apparently, I am easily amused. I'm still chuckling):D :) :D :)
     
    #38     Feb 13, 2008
  9. S2007S

    S2007S


    sell the rallies
     
    #39     Feb 14, 2008
  10. Maestro -I'm curious what software you are running on your 24 monitor display -looks good. thanks for your reply.
     
    #40     Feb 21, 2008