Yep. That's another question. Trump seemed to beat his poll numbers by 3% or so the past two cycles. Will that reverse this cycle? I guess I'd put the odds over 50% that Trump beats his numbers again. And, if he does, then instead of being up roughly 1.5% in the tipping point state he may be up more like 2-4%. I kind of think Trump should be around 60%.
Trump Media & Technology Group Files Prospectus For Issuance Of Up To 14.4M Common Shares Upon Warrant Exercise And Resale Of 146.1M Shares By Selling Securityholders, Including 78.8M Shares Held By President Trump; No Proceeds From Sales By Securityholders
I guess it's an amended version of the original S-1 https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20240610/AT22P22CZM22V9GZ2R272Z42AN4SSC22Z262/
At this point, I would definitely bet on Trump over Biden. It doesn't appear this conviction had a significant influence on the polls. However, I would bet big money nobody gets 55%. 60% is impossible. Reagan didn't even get 60% in 1984 (Funny that Nixon in 1972 was the last one to do it). I actually don't think either gets 50% this time, because there's significantly more interest in 3rd party candidates (even though it's a wasted vote). Even if Trump matched 2020's 46.8% he has a significant chance of winning. Trump essentially lost by .63% last time as that's the margin between Trump and Biden in WI (the margins in GA and AZ were smaller) and those 3 states going his way would have won him the Electoral College.
Las Vegas Trump Super Genius “Batteries vs Sharks” speech "...and it must be because of MIT my relationship to MIT very smart because I say what would happen if the boat sank from its weight and you're in the boat and you have this tremendously powerful battery and the battery is now under water and there's a shark that's approximately ten yards over there by the way lot of shark attacks lately notice that lot of shark attacks I watched some guys justifying it today WELL THEY WEREN'T REALLY THAT ANGRY THEY BIT OFF THE THE YOUNG LADY'S LEG BECAUSE of the fact that they were they were not hungry but they misunderstood what sushi was these people are great he said there's no problem with sharks they just didn't really understand a young woman's tsswimming (sic) now we really got decimated in other people too a lotta sharks so I said THERE'S A SHARK TEN YARDS AWAY from the boat TEN YARDS over here do I get electrocuted if the boat is sinking water goes over the battery the boat is sinking do I stay on top of the boat and get electrocuted or do I jump over by the shark and not get electrocuted because I will tell you he didn't know the answer he said you know nobody has ever asked me that question I said I think it's a good question I think there's a lot of electric current coming through that water but you know what I'd do if there's a shark or you get electrocuted I'll take electrocution every single time I'M NOT GETTING NEAR THE SHARK so we can end that we can end it for boats we're gonna end it for trucks..."
Yeah I didn't read or try to discern the new fine print on the amended S-1... no idea what its about... because honestly... I have better things to waste my time on. I saw the filing scroll by and figured I better share it since so many here are apparently playing this thing. I have zero interest in playing stupid bs stocks like this unless I see a fib play with the near term options not reflecting the potential move. Politics is one thing... account balances are another. And stocks are stocks are stocks. Ya'll have at it.