It is hard to believe that there are not, to the second, information about the supply and demand for oil. Also prior price action should be able to provide some measure for expected price change given a change in a certain supply or demand factor. And yet one always gets the impression that the price of oil just falls from the sky and no one knows what is responsible for change. It is time to pin down exactly who, what, where, when, ... is responsible for the change in oil prices. Chances are good there is a small group of people somewhere causing this economic uncertainty.