What I'm Watching

Discussion in 'Journals' started by xpertstocktrader, Mar 9, 2009.

  1. Thank you very much :) hope it will be good chances for us
     
    #151     Nov 29, 2010
  2. Free stock pick for 11/30/2010

    SHORT:
    A

    Technical
    A forming triangle on daily chart and my interest is break down under 20sma support area. If that will be case it will be very important to see pace and volume and depends on that we can expect bigger or smaller target area.

    Fundamental
    One or more analysts have modestly increased quarterly earnings estimates for A (positive). Shares are being heavily sold by financial institutions what is not good for large company like A
     
    #152     Nov 30, 2010
  3. Free stock pick for 12/02/2010
    LONG:
    CHD

    Technical
    CHD consolidate under 200sma daily resistance area and my interest is breakup above it and run to previous high. Daily action is kind of reversal head and shoulder or rounding bottom and both are bullish. If we will see setup we like to see stronger pace and bigger volume what will confirm bounce action.

    Fundamental
    Earnings growth in the past year is holding steady compared to earnings growth in the past three years. The ratio of CHD's price-to-earnings multiple to its five-year growth rate is about the same or slightly above the average of all stocks (positive). One or more analysts have modestly decreased quarterly earnings estimates for CHD (negative).
     
    #153     Dec 2, 2010
  4. Free stock pick for 12/02/2010

    Atheros Communications Inc (ATHR)-long

    Technical Analysis:
    After Wednesday gap up and daily bear trap, OVTI started with consolidation and I’m interested for break up and move to 32.50-35 area. On the bigger time frame we can see that OVTI have room for that action what is another reason why I like it. On the other side, I will stay with day trade, because after two up day’s we can expect that market will take a rest and for OVTI success we need to see own way action.

    Fundamental Analysis:
    Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated moderately compared to earnings growth in the past three years. The ratio of ATHR's price-to-earnings multiple to its five-year growth rate is slightly below the average of all stocks. Two or more executives, board directors or major shareholders - including one high-level executive - sold a large number of shares recently
     
    #154     Dec 3, 2010
  5. Free stock pick for 12/07/2010

    Lockheed Martin Corp (LTM)-short
    Technical Analysis:
    LTM formed daily continuation pattern what can be interested for day trade, but I hope that can lead in to longer term short trade because of weekly and monthly flag pattern. For start, interest is intraday action, but if LTM will do well I will look for much more. We will see action and I will post info in the trading room.

    Fundamental Analysis:
    The price-to-earnings multiple is lower than average (positive). The price-to-sales multiple is significantly lower than the average (neutral for company like LMT). One or more analysts has modestly decreased quarterly earnings estimates for LMT (negative).
     
    #155     Dec 7, 2010
  6. Ivica,

    Do you do anything to mitigate overnight risk for stocks? Just wondering, I would like to swing some stocks but the overnight risk discourages me...
     
    #156     Dec 7, 2010
  7. Ou need to use proper risk. But iof that is something new for you my advice is to start with extremly small risk and then see how you feel in swing trade. With time you can increase risk. Mine is never bigger then 1%
     
    #157     Dec 8, 2010
  8. Thank you for your response Ivica.

    How about when a gap increases the real risk from 1% to 10-20%?

    Does that happen as often as the wins?
     
    #158     Dec 8, 2010
  9. Well, of course that risk is here. But not that often as the wins. Not for sure. I'm trend trader and I won't say that can't happen. I never count % win/losses but for sure there are much more % on win side.

    I have few ideas for today but I can post only one because I dont know how to post several ideas in one post so if anyone will be interested contact me.


    Best Buy Co. Inc (BBY)-short
    Technical Analysis:
    I’m interested for selling continuation after second daily selling wave and run to $40 – daily 200sma support area. If we will see some 15/30 min consolidation before setup that will decrease trading risk and in that case I will look for bigger risk trade on it. I will post updates in the live trading room.

    Fundamental Analysis:
    Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated rapidly compared to earnings growth in the past three years (positive). The ratio of BBY's price-to-earnings multiple to its five-year growth rate is above the average of all stocks (negative). Previous day's closing price for BBY was close to its 50-day moving average (neutral).
     
    #159     Dec 8, 2010
  10. Sonic Automotive Inc (SAH)-long
    Technical Analysis:
    SAH have room for upside continuation and Thursday higher volume suggest for that possibility. First resistance is weekly 200sma ($14 area) and I will use is to protect trade. Final target is for now $15 area and that will depends on upside action.

    Fundamental Analysis:
    Earnings growth in the past year has accelerated moderately compared to earnings growth in the past three years (positive). The most recent quarterly earnings report was approximately equal to or higher than analysts’ consensus forecast, but not to a degree that is predictive of future returns (neutral).


    for other 6 ideas feel free to contact me

    good luck today
     
    #160     Dec 10, 2010