What could possibly kill gold? Name one

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by schizo, Mar 11, 2011.

  1. Crispy

    Crispy

    Rates beating inflation by 1-2% points and its over. When that happens, and at what price gold is at by then is another story.
     
    #11     Mar 11, 2011
  2. With the government owing $14+ trillion, they can't increase rates to 7 or 8%.

    Real inflation is at least 5 or 6% currently, I'd bet.
     
    #12     Mar 11, 2011
  3. Crispy

    Crispy

     
    #13     Mar 12, 2011
  4. The Covel crowd flipping from long to short.
     
    #14     Mar 12, 2011
  5. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    BINGO!!

    And there will be "incentives" along the way. Tax regulation has the power to change the quantification of "beating inflation". Just remember the real purpose of an incentive is to influence (our) behavior, which may or may not be a "solution".
     
    #15     Mar 12, 2011
  6. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    I think your onto the wrong trade. Gold will likely stay high or possibly even rally higher on the perception/threat of higher inflation rates, even if these rates don't occur.

    Just reading Elitetrader should give you some idea on the psyche of the gold crowd and how some camps perceive markets right now. The one certainty if we can call it that is UNCERTAINTY.
    This is usually good for Gold.

    I believe Gold is consolidating short term and needs to touch $1500 before any bearish trends can even think to occur. That being said, Gold is very hard to read and easy to be wrong on.
     
    #16     Mar 13, 2011
  7. ?....How many people are in that "crowd"?....5, 6, or 7? :confused: :D
     
    #17     Mar 13, 2011
  8. Hyperinflation is not like inflation because its not a gradual rise in prices/devaluation of currency.

    Instead it is a loss of confidence in a currency proceeding from a banana republic like we have now, to and ending in a complete panic out of a currency, and its typical cause is money printing, or QE in fancy new central banker speak.

    In the history of the world, there have been very few times any paper currency became a "reserve currency", ie traded with as well as held longer term by other nations. All the one I can think of ended very, very badly.
     
    #18     Mar 13, 2011
  9. I mean the firms he <i>writes about</i>, not his personal fans.
     
    #19     Mar 13, 2011
  10. 2 things can kill gold. If the US stops spending more than it takes in and starts paying off its $14 Trillion+ deficit.

    or

    Some random guy falls into a hole somewhere in the desert and finds an undiscovered cave with a 1 million tons of unmined gold in it.
     
    #20     Mar 13, 2011