price fluctuating below then above your longer term ema line is more likely than not a prediction based on previous data you can predict with very high probability that if price dropped sharply below ema it will very likely rebound either to or above ema line because based on the history of every single stock the price tends to fluctuate around the longer term ema line. so when i see a sharp spike i can predict that the price will collapse after it peaks with higher probability of it continuing to go up. same forprice crashing sharply. and then rebound . being overbought and oversold. similar to when rubber band
How do you trade that prediction? Moving averages only show you where price has been, not where it is going. By the time price gets back to the ma I predict the ma will have moved.
I suspect many aren't looking to be 'found.' I suspect others can be found for around two and twenty.
What can be predicted: markets will keep grinding up due to inflation Cannot be predicted: when there will be a huge crash/correction
What's the basis for these statements? Have you actually done a backtest to see what happens to stocks over time?
An analogy is to this conundrum Schrodinger's cat. Both states are possible until you collapse the wave function and actualize one or the other events.