Well, dropped my crystal ball and all I have now are shards of glass. So, I guess I need to buy a magic 8 ball to tell me what is coming next?
padutrader, If you or anyone else was certain without doubt what the market will do next within the next minute/hour/day/week/month AND you have proof of this certainty and guarantees, PLEASE PM so I can give you some money ($200) to invest for me. Otherwise man, I do no think it is good idea to be stating such comments you made. "go all in" "know what the market was going to do" Such comments can send an innocent newbie down a waste of time rabbit hole. Even your mentor and friend Al Brooks mentions the word "uncertainty" and "trading probabilities" a 100 times in his book. Stop Bullshitting around man. It's enough confusion going around already.
no you only have to believe that it is possible. I never believed all the great market participants who told me it was not possible to predict the market. try telling any teen age child that billions of usd in put into markets not knowing where the market is going next? how ridiculous does that sound!
why should I invest it for you. I am doing it for myself. and I never believed that it was impossible to know where the market is going to go because it goes, where the buying and selling, tells it to go and that is known in hindsight. but no one is looking back. everyone is looking forward
Brooks does and so does a million others.....but that is ridiculous you think GS is putting billions into an uncertain rabbit hole?
everybody is trading on the assumption that markets are risky. they are not bothering even to look for answers. I looked . I looked and searched for 13 years.
Be nice to @padutrader, sometimes risking 100% makes sense. If you trade options and long calls or puts, you buy theta, makes sense to spend all of it (risk 100%) and see how everything plays out. As for trade size, I know my expectancy and I bet 1/4 - 1/2 Kelly on each trade. Once in a while I bet 1-2 Kelly and often regret I did that.