What are the drivers of oil price?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by trade4succes, Jul 25, 2013.

  1. ofthomas

    ofthomas

    http://www.amazon.com/Oil-101-Morgan-Downey/dp/0982039204/

    http://www.amazon.com/Oils-Endless-Bid-Unreliable-Economy-ebook/dp/B004U7MUU2


     
    #31     Nov 13, 2013
  2. #32     Nov 13, 2013
  3. Gasoline price movements in any given country -- it's up 22% from last year or down 8% in the last two months relate to crude pricing. But the levels the prices are at -- call it the base -- have nothing to do with the pice per barrel of crude.

    Like cigarettes, booze etc. the base depends on governments attitude toward the commodity. My partner and I owned some "stripper" production in Texas during the '70s and I think we got $12.40 a barrel while others in Texas got much less. Because our wells each produced an average of less than 10 barrels daily the Texas Railroad Commision let us get a market price.

    Our total production averaged 50 barrels a day over 8 wells in two counties. Why we got to sell at the market and others that had wells producing 100 barrels per got less -- the regulated price of less than $8 per -- never made any sense to me. Without the revenue from gasoline many countries would be bankrupt in a month. The whole setup is insane.

     
    #33     Nov 13, 2013
  4. Brighton

    Brighton

    Thanks for the recommendations for "Oil 101."

    I would add "The Prize" by Yergin if someone is starting out or just wants a fuller understanding of oil's history and importance. Some say that Yergin is now just a shill for his Big Oil clients, but back in the day, he wrote a darn good book and it won a Pulitzer to boot.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Prize:_The_Epic_Quest_for_Oil,_Money,_and_Power
     
    #34     Nov 13, 2013
  5. ofthomas

    ofthomas

    downey's book is one of my favorites... I was able to trust trading crude spreads thanks to having a better understanding... too bad there isnt a similar book for grains that I have found... the knowledge is fragmented out there for the grains.. :(
     
    #35     Nov 13, 2013
  6. ofthomas

    ofthomas

    cool... I didnt know the PBS documentary was based on it...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qspu35JG59Q
     
    #36     Nov 13, 2013