Well well well...who would like to see my prediction for next week? Post your prediction here...

Discussion in 'Trading' started by greeneveryday, May 16, 2020.

What will happen to Spy next week?

  1. Spy will close above 294

    11 vote(s)
    36.7%
  2. Spy will stay in range bounce 280-294

    12 vote(s)
    40.0%
  3. Spy will close below 280

    7 vote(s)
    23.3%
  1. S2007S

    S2007S




    Dow 30
    23,889.0
    DERIVED
    06:18:42 | Futures
    +372.0 +1.58%

    S&P 500
    2,890.62
    DERIVED
    06:18:40 | Futures
    +44.12 +1.55%

    Nasdaq
    9,212.88
    DERIVED
    06:18:42 | Futures
    +116.38 +1.28%

    SmallCap 2000
    1,288.70
    DERIVED
    06:18:42 | Futures
    +42.30 +3.39%
     
    #31     May 18, 2020
  2. Spooz Top 2,

    You are right. For me, it is better to react to what the market is doing and be a Follower not a Leader.

    If the market is going upwards when my eyes see the market is going upward, my best bet is to find a decent risk location to enter long. High odds are in my favor of a win.

    If the market is going downards when my eyes see the market is going downward, my best bet is to find a decent risk location to enter short. High odds are in my favor of a win.
     
    #32     May 18, 2020
    Spooz Top 2 and Axon like this.
  3. hafez50

    hafez50


    Perfect case and pt . Today. Zero people and i mean zero people saw us up 87 pts on the es today. Matter of fact i'm pretty certain 70% of elite trader is short and if we had fallen 87 pts much of the board would have been shouting how they were short . But we won't hear a peep from all the shorts stuck. Look at it this way .If all your trades are long then you'll be right around 72% of the time . Its really that easy
     
    Last edited: May 18, 2020
    #33     May 18, 2020
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  4. I'd say that ET is usually a good mix between bulls and bears. Last week I was 46 % long and 54 % short on my day trades.

    Such a strong gap open on a Monday is quite rare, but there were at least one guy who were bullish for this week ahead of the Open. Obviously, to predict each day in great detail and days ahead is not something I personally believe is possible, but yes, I do believe markets can be predicted a lot of the time.

    But prediction usually involves conditional probability, i.e., as long as this condition is in effect, then that is more likey. As markets change continuously, just like the weather, a good forecaster always uses updated data and may change his opinion if something 'new' happens that changes the current prediction.

    ES Journal - 2019/2020
     
    #34     May 18, 2020
    luckyfnlou likes this.
  5. Maybe I am too simple thinking, but I personally think it is too much work and stress for "me" to try to predict what the market will do day to day or week to week.

    I rather just wake up each day, and trade whatever direction I see at that moment in time.

    Just seems like too much work to me with all the prediction stuff in the future. long term, i just buy the S&P 500 index monthly.

    I mean guys, we all just got one damn brain and two arms. I am just going to keep shit simple. Make my 2 or 3 trades per day and end it. track my records.
     
    Last edited: May 18, 2020
    #35     May 18, 2020
    Spooz Top 2 and never2old like this.
  6. To complain about too much work and stress does not seem promising.

    Are you killing it just waking up and trading in whatever direction you see at that moment in time...?

    If so - hat's off to you.
     
    #36     May 18, 2020
  7. ironchef

    ironchef

    For us yes for @greeneveryday he has been right more times than wrong when predicting the future.
     
    #37     May 18, 2020
  8. ironchef

    ironchef

    ET is a trading forum, not a buy and hold forum?
     
    #38     May 18, 2020
  9. 7out

    7out

    We all made our predictions before the market opened on Sunday evening. You wait until the market is up $2+ before you give your vision on sunday night?????
     
    #39     May 18, 2020
  10. S2007S

    S2007S




    And there you go and extra $1.44 for your piggy banks.

    Next week $300 and beyond.
    Get your free money !!!


    295.44 USD+0.56 (0.19%)
    May 22, 8:00 PM EDT · Disclaimer
     
    #40     May 24, 2020