we'll see 1102 tomorrow

Discussion in 'Politics' started by riskarb, Mar 24, 2004.

  1. Talk about time zone differences.... I'm still on 3/25.

    Can someone tell me who won the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament? Where I live, I could make a lot of money with that information.

    :)
     
    #101     Mar 25, 2004
  2. LOL, nice deductive reasoning. It's a neural-net developed with small input layer. I use it primarly to predict my short-gamma hedges -- it helps to get in front of my position's gamma-accumulation. Occasionally, it produces a 90(10) reading in which I will take a sizable directional bet. The goal is to replicate an experienced tape reader in a swing-trading time-frame. It has limited applications for long-gamma options trading, as the hedge parms aren't very discrete -- hence I use it to front-run my short-option hedging.

    Today was sweet guys, seems like a lot of ET went long today, good on ya.

    No inside info, not that I wouldn't trade the sh*t out of it.

    riskarb
     
    #102     Mar 25, 2004
  3. Cutten

    Cutten

    That is usually a sign to add more :D
     
    #103     Mar 25, 2004
  4. manz66

    manz66

    lol. Thank you for correcting. Silly me.
     
    #104     Mar 25, 2004
  5. manz66

    manz66

    I believe you follow market-makers. They went into year-end with short gamma positions, which resulted in rising implied volatility. You predict through:

    realized volume > implied volume = go long gamma

    realized volume < implied volume = go short gamma

    and swing formula. Thank you for the reply.
     
    #105     Mar 25, 2004
  6. sub volume for volty, but I certainly agree with the above. When do you "realize" volty? therein lies the rub -- it adds a predictive layer, hence the NN.

    riskarb
     
    #106     Mar 25, 2004
  7. Damn.
    Perhaps we can throw a Lithium-Net over James Stock!

    :D
     
    #107     Mar 25, 2004
  8. F*ck you Waggie... I'm laughing so hard I've got Pepsi One all over the kbd and monitor.

    riskarb:D
     
    #108     Mar 25, 2004
  9. I'm watching the Pitt vs Ok State game on CBS out here.

    Sorry about the coke out the nose!

    Ooops, did I say that?

    :eek:
     
    #109     Mar 25, 2004
  10. no BB for me, stuck listening to NPR with a bunch of geriatrics... whoa boy.

    Tahoe getting a lot of white stuff, er, snow. Serious about the Pepsi, but it's a mil-spec laptop with a sealed kbd, no worries ;-)

    riskarb
     
    #110     Mar 25, 2004