Weekly Thread: Oct. 05 - 10

Discussion in 'Forex' started by rezo_s, Oct 4, 2003.

  1. fortuna

    fortuna

    I just bought the cable ahead of BOE meeting

    EURUSD : Market ap/ears to be still short eur$ cash positions from last friday that still need to be covered. There are some option barrier risk at 1.1850/70 and some asian bank on the offer at those level that should hamper the market for a while but that long though. The market is looking for 1.23/1.25 at the end of the year.
    Model and system trading community have new buy stop entry's at 1.1880/5 looking for 1.1950+.

    USDJPY: Market still nervous about BOJ intervention, but looks like that they can't support the market anymore (???)
    we are better sellers now into any rally with 109.80/90 with buy orders starting from 108.75
    Lots of KO option at 109/108.85 and then 108.50 that expires today. Big protection bids at 108.60

    AUDUSD: As long as the huge demand level down at 0.6870/80 holds for the rest of the week, Prop and Specs happy to re-buy into any decent retrace and feel is that its only a matter of time before you go through 0.6950 for a new high.




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    #21     Oct 9, 2003
  2. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    What level did you buy the cable at?

    and as for aussie - what is your projection of the near target after 6950 and 7000 are done? I will be buying for 7155 target. And another question if I may: what is your target for long cable? is it just an intraday or longer term position?
     
    #22     Oct 9, 2003
  3. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    Unfortunatly (?) I didnt enter the short position on cable. I had a sell signal @1.6660, and stop should have been placed @1.6740 (80 pips) with target of 1.6490 (170 pips). Not a bad ratio, but I wanted to short at 1.6680 for stop to be 60 pips. It never got back to that level to short, so I passed the trade. Maybe its for the best bcos swissy and euro are also on defencive now and those are the trades I am after for couple days now. Will be definatly entering these 2 positions, and another position - most probably short usdcad. here are charts with possible retracement areas for swissy and euro. But my entry may be independant on those levels anytime during the day.
     
    #23     Oct 9, 2003
  4. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    targets are same as I was posting. Although on euro target may rise higher. will see once entry aproaches. here is the swissy chart
     
    #24     Oct 9, 2003
  5. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    here's the euro chart
     
    #25     Oct 9, 2003
  6. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    Ok, euro already reached 1.1755 and is currently at that level. If we get to 1.1715/30 (which I think we will) - that is the levels to watch. If we break, it may trigger 1.1675/90. Very healthy retracement, and needed one. This is good for further continuation of the upside move. As I say, for now its considered only as a corrective move, but you never know what will it become ;)

    good luck everyone!
     
    #26     Oct 9, 2003
  7. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    here we go - 1.1730, swissy +1.32
     
    #27     Oct 9, 2003
  8. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    sold USDCAD@1.3330,

    stop@1.3445 (115pips)
    tgt@1.3070 (260 pips)
     
    #28     Oct 9, 2003
  9. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    Looking to sell usdchf - not sure yet when and at what price. I pass on euro, as stop there is around 1.1615 figure - big volatility recently, and target is only 1.1930, maybe 1.1970/80, so not best r:r here. I am choosing to trade swissy and maybe add long eurgbp to target 7180-7220. Will see.
     
    #29     Oct 9, 2003
  10. rezo_s

    rezo_s

    sold USDCHF @1.3201
     
    #30     Oct 9, 2003