Weekly Poll: I Can't Believe October Is Almost Over And No Crash!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Oct 22, 2010.

SPY Next Week?

Poll closed Oct 29, 2010.
  1. Bullish

    15 vote(s)
    29.4%
  2. Flat

    7 vote(s)
    13.7%
  3. Bearish

    26 vote(s)
    51.0%
  4. I prefer to keep my opinion to myself

    3 vote(s)
    5.9%
  1. It's like throwing a ball up in the air and trying to keep it up there....gravity brings it down and one can only keep it up there so long...

    I am glad to be here with my friends to read these posts and watch this happen.

    It's a war against Obama and I am not sure how long we can win.
    Obama sure has brought the change he promised... (well changing just for the sake of change, not for the better). Don't always wish what you asked for. I hope now people in the USA will be more careful next time. Obama is tearing down everything that represents what he feels is failed capitalism. You aint seen nothing yet from this visionary.

    MB


    http://www.blackstoneaudio.com/audiobook.cfm?id=5928
     
    #41     Oct 27, 2010
  2. Markets are saying that the US market is the place to invest compared to other world markets. A retreat would be good.

    The US is back.
     
    #42     Oct 27, 2010
  3. I understand your point, but when I look at historical volatility, I do the entire history on an index, and then I break it down to before 2000 and 2000 and after.
    2000 and after is always more volatile. So the odds actually favor lots of volatility.
    My own view is we continue with volatility for a few years, and after the next big bear, we go flat for years because no one will be interested at all, the way no one cared about gold all through the nineties, and it just sat there, in a very narrow range, for years.
    You'd think iron condors or some other neutral strategy would work when that happens, but I'm willing to bet the bid/ask will blow out, and the spread between them will make it more challenging to make money even from the neutral strategies.
    But that's years away, IMO.
     
    #43     Oct 27, 2010
  4. UUP -1.1%, SPY -0.3%

    why are stocks refusing to go up even with weak dollar? market to rebound by EOD?
     
    #44     Oct 28, 2010
  5. Gold was weak this morning, but just now had a huge breakout which, if it holds to EOD, will reverse my short term sell. The dollar suffered a big swoon at about the same time.
    I'd expect the markets to respond accordingly, if not today, tomorrow.
     
    #45     Oct 28, 2010
  6. gobar

    gobar

    flat market till tuesday/ wednesday

    so no crash

    unless :D
     
    #46     Oct 28, 2010
  7. S2007S

    S2007S

    Notice how they want to push this market higher, nasdaq is back in the green, semis are actually strong again!


    MSFT earnings after the close, who knows what they are going to say, this company isn't worth following anymore, it used to be a huge market mover but over the last few years its just become a boring stocks to watch.
     
    #47     Oct 28, 2010
  8. S2007S

    S2007S

    NASDAQ going for 7 UP days in a ROW!!!!!


    Oct 27, 2010 2,484.09 2,505.35 2,478.01 2,503.26 2,013,240,000 2,503.26
    Oct 26, 2010 2,476.51 2,503.03 2,470.12 2,497.29 1,914,350,000 2,497.29
    Oct 25, 2010 2,491.62 2,507.03 2,490.11 2,490.85 1,746,320,000 2,490.85
    Oct 22, 2010 2,461.60 2,479.39 2,459.43 2,479.39 1,648,180,000 2,479.39
    Oct 21, 2010 2,470.72 2,482.14 2,436.34 2,459.67 2,135,480,000 2,459.67
    Oct 20, 2010 2,443.20 2,469.72 2,441.07 2,457.39 2,016,770,000 2,457.39
    Oct 19, 2010 2,442.21 2,462.94 2,422.14 2,436.95 2,241,840,000 2,436.95
     
    #48     Oct 28, 2010
  9. bonds
     
    #49     Oct 28, 2010
  10. S2007S

    S2007S

    Really Really surprised that MMM was down as much as it was with the dow only off 16 points, if MMM had been up over $5.00 the DOW would have surged over 150 points.
     
    #50     Oct 28, 2010