there's no point for setting himself up for failure. if he fails, then America and the whole system would fail. he's going to stick to the accommodating script. I think a goal of the FED is to placate the public opinions (by installing trust and confidence in people and systems). ok, he might as well rock the boat to show he's the FED chairman (I am more popular and powerful than any President, king, queen, chief, sultan, ... in the entire world)
Aren't those witching events supposed to increase volatility? Given how paranoid the market is right now, there will be movements around Fed's speech.
Funny you say that, I noticed that too about 20+ years ago too. Passed an interview once because it was the same day as Fed meeting and just before Fed announcement. I iterated what you said above and we watched together as market moved precisely as described. Interviewer thought I was some guru and offered me the job.
I'm going to focus on Bear reaction TZA SQQQ UVXY Bull reaction APHA TLRY SNDL Inverses vs cannabis, both high volatility