Website/tool for generating random trades during a specified time period

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by logic_man, Aug 17, 2012.

  1. dom993

    dom993

    The null-hypothesis testing as described by Aronson is pretty weak, as it focuses only on the end P&L. I find that focusing on max drawdown for the null-hypothesis testing gives a much more reliable result.

    But proving a system has an edge on any sample set is no guarantee the system will remain profitable ... a key companion tool to any system is a sound gauge of "normal" vs "suspicious" vs "plain-wrong" current drawdown - so that a trader can decide when to pull the plug using objective criterias.

    BTW, this is not only drawdown $$$, it should also address drawdown duration (# of trades)
     
    #11     Aug 20, 2012