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Discussion in 'Journals' started by $CostAverageMAN, Feb 23, 2006.

  1. Hi-Shear Tech HSR Aerospace & Defense (OEM)
    Hutchison Tlcm HTX Telecomm (Cellular)
    IAMGOLD Corp IAG Mining (Gold\Silver)
    Imperial ChADR ICI Chemical (Basic)
    Int'l Game Tch IGT Leisure (Gaming)
    Imperial Sugar IPSU Food (Agricultural)
    Banco Itau ADR ITU Bank (Foreign)
    ORIX Corp. IX Business Svc (Misc)
    Johnson Cntrol JCI Auto & Truck (OEM)
    Jeffries Grp JEF Financial (Brokers)
    J L G Industs JLG Machinery (Const\Mining)
    Joy Global Inc JOYG Machinery (Const\Mining)
    James RiverCoal JRCC Energy (Coal\Other)
    Korea ElecADR KEP Utility (Electric)
    Kendle Int'l KNDL Healthcare (Med\Den Suply}
    Kongzhong Corp KONG Telecomm (Cellular)
    Kans. City So KSU Transportation (Rail)
    Kyocera CorpADR KYO Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    LaBranche & Co LAB Financial (Brokers)
    Layne Christen LAYN Petroleum (Field Services)
    Leggett & Plat LEG Home (Furniture)
    China Life ADR LFC Insurance (Life)
    Littlefuse LFUS Electronic (Components)
    Lihir Gold ADS LIHRY Mining (Gold\Silver)
    Lafarge SA ADR LR Building (Cement Etc.)
    Lufkin Inds LUFK Petroleum (Mach\Equipment)
    Lyondell Chem LYO Chemical (Basic)
    Massey Energy MEE Energy (Coal\Other)
    M G M MIRAGE MGM Leisure (Gaming)
    M G P Ingrdnts MGPI Food (Sugar\Flour\Grain)
    Millea ADR MLEA Insurance (Prop\Casualty)
    Micro Linear MLIN Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    Martin MarMtls MLM Building (Cement Etc.)
    Monsanto Co MON Food (Agricultural)
    Marathon Oil MRO Petroleum (U S Integrated)
    M R O Softwr MROI Software (Business)
    M G I C Invstm MTG Insurance (Prop\Casualty)
    Manitowoc Co MTW Diversified Companies
    Maverick Tube MVK Metal Prds (Pipe\Fab\Misc)
    Inco Ltd N Mining (Other)
    Nat'l AustrlBk NAB Bank (Investment)
    Nabors Inds NBR Petroleum (Drilling)
    Newmont Mining NEM Mining (Gold\Silver)
    NewMarket NEU Chemical (Specialty)
    New CentryREIT NEW REIT (Mortgage)
    Norsk HydroADR NHY Diversified Companies
    Knight Trading NITE Financial (Brokers)
    Norfolk So NSC Transportation (Rail)
    N S Group NSS Metal Prds (Pipe\Fab\Misc)
    NATCO Grp Inc NTG Petroleum (Mach\Equipment)
    Nexen Inc NXY Petroleum (Cdn Expl\Prd)
    Oregon Steel OS Steel (Basic)
    Oshkosh Truck OSK Auto & Truck (Mfg)
    O 2Diesel Corp OTD Petroleum (Refining\Mktg)
    Occidental Pet OXY Petroleum (U S Explr\Prod)
    Pan Amer Silvr PAAS Mining (Gold\Silver)
    North Am Paldm PAL Mining (Other)
    Petro BraslADR PBR Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Southrn PeruCu PCU Mining (Other)
    Petro Canada PCZ Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Pioneer Drillg PDC Petroleum (Drilling)
    Pacific Ethanol PEIX Energy (Coal\Other)
    Penn NatlGmg PENN Leisure (Gaming)
    Pwrshrs GldDrg PGJ Market (Baskets)
    POSCO ADS PKX Steel (Basic)
    Pinnacle Ent PNK Leisure (Gaming)
    Pilgrims Pride PPC Food (Meat Products)
    P P G Inds PPG Chemical (Basic)
    PetroQuest Ene PQ Petroleum (U S Explr\Prod)
    Portec Rail Pdt PRPX Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    Patterson UTI PTEN Petroleum (Drilling)
    PetroChina ADR PTR Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Primewest Engy PWI Petroleum (Cdn Expl\Prd)
    Petrobras EngSA PZE Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Quantum Fuel QTWW Energy (Coal\Other)
    Freightcar Amer RAIL Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    Dr Reddys ADR RDY Drug (Ethical)
    Transocean Inc RIG Petroleum (Drilling)
    Rinker Grp ADS RIN Building (Cement Etc.)
    CompanhiaVlADR RIO Mining (Other)
    Rogers Corp ROG Chemical (Plastics)
    Roper Inds ROP Machinery (Industrial)
    R T I Int'lMet RTI Steel (Alloy)
    Rio Tinto ADR RTP Mining (Other)
    Sanderson Farm SAFM Food (Meat Products)
    Co DeSaneamento SBS Utility (Water Supply)
    Sadia SA ADR SDA Food (Prepared)
    Shaw Group SGR Building (Heavy Constr)
    Shinhan FinlADR SHG Bank (Foreign)
    SinopecShnghai SHI Chemical (Basic)
    Madden Steven SHOO Apparel (Shoes)
    Smith Int'l SII Petroleum (Mach\Equipment)
    Apex Silver SIL Mining (Gold\Silver)
    Schlumberger SLB Petroleum (Field Services)
    Silver Wheaton SLW Mining (Gold\Silver)
    Sirenza Mcrdv SMDI Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    Sony Corp. SNE Home (Audio\Video Prods)
    Sasol Ltd ADR SSL Energy (Coal\Other)
    SunOpta Inc STKL Food (Sugar\Flour\Grain)
    Steel Dynamics STLD Steel (Basic)
    Station Csnos STN Leisure (Gaming)
    Statoil ADR STO Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Suntech Pwr STP Energy (Coal\Other)
    STATS ChipPac STTS Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    Suncor Energy SU Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Sunoco Inc SUN Petroleum (Refining\Mktg)
    Stillwater Mng SWC Mining (Other)
    Swift Trnspt SWFT Transportation (Truck)
    Sierra Wirelss SWIR Telecomm (Equipment)
    Molson Coors TAP Food (Bev-Alcoholic)
    Tenneco Inc TEN Auto & Truck (OEM)
    Taiwan Grtr TFC Market (MutFndsClsdFrgn)
    Taseko Mines TGB Mining (Other)
    Todco THE Petroleum (Drilling)
    Titanium Metls TIE Steel (Alloy)
    Turkish Fund TKF Market (MutFndsClsdFrgn)
    Timken Co TKR Metal Prds (Pipe\Fab\Misc)
    Telstra Cp ADS TLS Utility (Telephone)
    A O Tatneft ADS TNT Petroleum (Intl Specialty)
    Total SA ADR TOT Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    TradeStatn Grp TRAD Internet (E:Commerce)
    Templtn Russia& TRF Market (MutFndsClsdFrgn)
    Trump Entrmnt TRMP Leisure (Gaming)
    Trinity Inds TRN Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    Tenaris SA ADR TS Steel (Basic)
    Tractor Supply TSCO Retail (Building Products)
    Taiwan SemiADR TSM Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    Tyson Foods A TSN Food (Meat Products)
    Twin Disc Inc TWIN Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    Taiwan Fund TWN Market (MutFndsClsdFrgn)
    T X U Corp TXU Utility (Electric)
    Travelzoo Inc TZOO Internet (Svc Provider)
    UniBanco ADS UBB Bank (Foreign)
    Univrsl ForPrd UFPI Building (Wood Products)
    United Indstrl UIC Aerospace & Defense (Elec)
    Unitd McrelADR UMC Electronic (Semicndtr Mfg)
    Univ Stainless USAP Steel (Alloy)
    U.S. OIL FUND ETF USO Petroleum (Oil ETF)
    Cohen&Steers Sl UTF Market (MutFndsClsdDom)
    United Tech UTX Diversified Companies
    Votorantim ADR VCP Paper
    Veolia Envrmnt VE Utility (Water Supply)
    Valero Energy VLO Petroleum (Refining\Mktg)
    WABTEC WAB Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    WebMD Hlth WBMD Internet (E:Commerce)
    Woori Finance WF Bank (Foreign)
    Weathrfrd Intl WFT Petroleum (Mach\Equipment)
    Western Gas WGR Petroleum (U S Integrated)
    W-H Energy Svs WHQ Petroleum (Field Services)
    Wellman Inc WLM Chemical (Plastics)
    W M S Inds WMS Leisure (Gaming)
    Wabash Nat'l WNC Transportation (Equip Mfg)
    Western Rfng WNR Petroleum (Refining\Mktg)
    Wheeling Pitts WPSC Steel (Basic)
    Western Silver WTZ Mining (Other)
    Exxon Mobil XOM Petroleum (Intl Integrted)
    Yahoo! Inc YHOO Internet (Svc Provider)
    YRC Worldwide YRCW Transportation (Truck)
    YanzhouCoal Mng YZC Energy (Coal\Other)
    Zoltek Inc ZOLT Chemical (Specialty)
    May OIH Puts @ 155.00 OIHQK Options
    FID. Emerging Mkt FEMKX Market (MutFndsOpenIntl)
    Greater China Fund EMCGX Market (MutFndsIOpenIntl)
     
    #391     Apr 22, 2006
  2. OK I just looked at what I posted and It hit me.....What ever the heck I am doing.....Is way too crazy.....I would love to fork my money over to a fund manager, but I doubt they could come close to producing these kind of gains......

    They would dump me into a few funds that would be loaded with MSFT, GM, CSCO, GOOG, AAPL, IBM, XOM, ECA, GD, BA, CAT, INTC (These would be the good Stocks) and everything else that just trickles along with a beta of 1.1 and they would tell me I am outperforming the market when I am up 6.8% on the year and that I can count on their excellent research and advice for future money I could bring to them............Thinking that putting me in the equivalent of an Index fund that they did their job better than everyone else who called me this year!!!!

    I just had a thought......It would be funny to send out a pamphlet with my 1st quarter performance compared to the market, other mutual funds and hedge funds....And see what kind of response I would get.....I mean Q1 I was up over 60% for 2006.....I think I would either TRASH the pamphlet or tape it on my computer screen....Not very sure what I would do....

    $COSTAverageMAN
     
    #392     Apr 22, 2006
  3. Sashe

    Sashe

    Hello, there and thanks for posting.
    I am curious whether you hedge your long positions (you seem to have a lot) or what are you going to do when (if) market will start falling? At the first glance -you are well diversified into the "defensive" economy stocks, but anyway....
    Thanks in advance
     
    #393     Apr 22, 2006
  4. $costman,

    Pretty simple in a way...

    You've got mostly materials, metals, energy and emerging markets.

    That's where things have been happening. For the size of your portfolio, you can get in/out at a fairly good clip. Not the case for a $100 mil-$1 bil fund. Your size portfolio is great for diversification, small enough to get in and out but not too big to hinder performance. A streak of luck doesn't hurt either.



     
    #394     Apr 22, 2006
  5. Friday, April 21, 2006 7:13 PM EDT

    Dear Action Alerts PLUS Subscriber,

    Crazy week, with the Dow moving to year-2000 highs, and energy and metals commodities soared across the board. But all's fair during an earnings season-options expiration week! As for the sluggishness in the tech sector, that was because of specific pockets in which earnings growth showed signs of waning. I sold out of both Southern Copper (PCU:NYSE) and PPG Industries (PPG:NYSE) this week for double-digit gains. Both stocks had been extremely volatile while I held them, so I want didn't want to be piggish with any recent profits. I filled one of the empty spots in the portfolio on Friday with Alcan (AL:NYSE). I'm focusing on looking for a technology stock for the other space, and I ended the week with 5.7% of cash on the sidelines.

    I issued more than a dozen alerts this week, and expect to issue a similar amount next week as earnings season kicks into full swing. New folks, welcome aboard! You will see many of the same disciplines at work, in real time, that are in my latest book, Jim Cramer's Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World. I also want to be sure you're not confused about the terminology I use on my "Mad Money" television show: When you hear me refer to my "charitable trust" on "Mad Money," I'm talking about the trust that holds my Action Alerts PLUS portfolio. My winnings from Action Alerts PLUS go to charity.

    (In my rating system, Ones are stocks I would buy right now, Twos are stocks that I would buy on a pullback, Threes are stocks I would sell on strength and Fours are stocks I want to unload as soon as my restrictions allow.)



    ONES

    ABB (ABB:NYSE ADR, $13.80, 15,000 shares, 5.13% of the portfolio):

    Purchased 2,500 shares on Wednesday. Sure, ABB is at its 52-week high, but the stock could continue trading up toward $15 or $16 in the coming months. That's because the market is paying little attention to the new contracts the company is winning, namely a piece of the $2.5 billion Abu Dhabi petrochemical project. Expect more updates on the rapidly expanding backlog in the company's April 27 earnings report.

    Alcan (AL:NYSE, $51.93, 1,500 shares, 1.93%): Initiated a position on Friday, with the stock trading for just 12 times conservative full-year earnings estimates. The company is head and shoulders ahead of its chief competitor Alcoa (AA:NYSE), which posted solid quarterly results last week. Alcan is on track to post 70% earnings growth in 2006, which could be followed by a couple more strong years. Just two out of eight analysts out there rate the stock a buy, and I believe the shares could trade through $60, because Wall Streeters will have to boost their estimates each quarter. As with most new positions, I've left room to buy 500 more shares of Alcan at both $50 and $48.

    Countrywide Financial (CFC:NYSE, $37.50, 5,000 shares, 4.65%):

    Bought 1,000 shares Tuesday, and another 500 shares on Wednesday, ahead of the company's April 27 earnings report. The minutes released this week from the last meeting said the Fed appears ready to stop raising interest rates shortly, at which point Countrywide is positioned well to outperform once again. With that in mind, I believe the stock can see the mid-$40s over the coming quarters.

    Nabors (NBR:NYSE, $38.65, 2,000 shares, 1.92%): Started a new
    position Monday with 1,000 shares, which the 2-for-1 split later in the week made 2,000. I'd look to buy another 1,000 shares when my restrictions next allow, as I look to rebuild my energy position. The drillers are the one niche of energy that still appears attractive, and Nabors is 10% off its highs. The company is best of breed in this group, and land day rates should remain strong, even with natural gas prices down from earlier highs. With that in mind, I believe that Nabors can trade up to $45 before it sees $35 again.

    Network Appliance (NTAP:Nasdaq, $36.98, 4,000 shares, 3.66%): Bought 500 shares on Tuesday, with the stock back down around my average cost basis. I'm surprised that Network Appliance didn't react better when IBM (IBM:NYSE) said the storage market was hot. Even so, I maintain that the shares can see $42 over the coming months.

    Newell Rubbermaid (NWL:NYSE, $25.22, 4,000 shares, 2.50%): Picked up 500 shares on Thursday. The company is scheduled to post earnings next Thursday morning, which I believe will be a breakout quarter. Newell is currently benefiting from lower input costs, and the initiatives of new CEO Mark Ketchum should generate much-needed top-line growth in the coming quarters. I'd look to buy another 500 or 1,000 shares before the report, if the opportunity presented itself.

    UnitedHealth Group (UNH:NYSE, $49.68, 4,500 shares, 5.54%): Was hit another 7% this week for a phantom earnings miss Tuesday morning. I believe the Goldman research note that erased the $2 premarket gains was wrong. That said, I have to admit I was being a hog with UnitedHealth, with the stock down 15 points since its December highs.

    Yahoo! (YHOO:Nasdaq, $32.77, 5,000 shares, 4.06%): Jumped almost 6% for the week after posting strong quarterly results Tuesday evening. Both this company and Google (GOOG:Nasdaq) confirmed this week that they're still taking massive advertising-market share from the newspapers. No action to take here, but I may trade around so with the shares if Yahoo! sees the mid-$30s in the coming months.



    TWOS

    Altria (MO:NYSE, $70.52, 3,500 shares, 6.12%): Moved back over $70 this week, as both this company and Kraft Foods (KFT:NYSE) posted strong earnings. Even with cigarette consumption falling in the U.S., I maintain that Atria is worth at least $80 a share on a breakup valuation.

    Cephalon (CEPH:Nasdaq, $65.53, 4,500 shares, 7.31%): Added 200 shares Tuesday, 5 points lower than where the stock ended the week. The company benefited from word that the one troublesome case in a Sparlon user from the clinical trial did not prove to be Stevens-Johnson syndrome.

    Foster Wheeler (FWLT:Nasdaq, $47.98, 6,300 shares, 7.49%): Alerted you readers to pick away at the stock Tuesday, some 4 points lower than where Foster ended the week. I maintain this below-the-radar infrastructure play has 10 points of upside potential before the end of the year.

    Halliburton (HAL:NYSE, $83.06, 1,000 shares, 2.06%): Gained 8% on the week as the company posted another strong quarter Thursday night. I maintain that the stock is undervalued by 10 to 12 points ahead of the KBR spinoff, especially with oil at $75 a barrel.

    Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MTU:NYSE ADR, $15.70, 10,000 shares, 3.89%): Quiet week for the world's largest bank. Even though the stock is already 10% above my average cost basis, Mitsubishi remains positioned well to benefit from the economic recovery in Japan.

    Procter & Gamble (PG:NYSE, $56.43, 4,000 shares, 5.59%): Best bang for the buck in the consumer staples sector. Procter trades at a discount to the higher-growth names, and grows faster than the value stocks that are at a similar valuation. The company should benefit from lower input costs in the near term, especially with the dollar at seven-month lows against the euro. I believe that any potential weakness from the lower inventory levels being held at Wal-Mart

    (WMT:NYSE) are already priced in. With that in mind, I'd look to pick away at P&G at or below $56 a share.

    Qualcomm (QCOM:Nasdaq, $51.37, 2,500 shares, 3.18%): Posted strong earnings this week, though the market is already pricing this in. New technologies like television over mobile phones will continue to drive demand for the Qualcomm chips that power 3G wireless technology. With the stock 17% above my cost basis, I'd wait for a pullback below $48 before adding to my stake.

    Schering-Plough (SGP:NYSE, $19.66, 12,500 shares, 6.09%): On Thursday, the company posted the first of what should be several quarters -- and the shares gained 7% for the week. I believe if the market had an ounce of respect for Schering or CEO Fred Hassan, the stock already would be in the low $20s.

    Sears Holdings (SHLD:Nasdaq, $140.24, 1,500 shares, 5.21%): Traders did their best to pin the stock to the $140 options strike. Even as the Sears Canada saga drags on, I believe the company is firing on all cylinders under the control of Eddie Lampert. With that in mind, the retailer should be able to return to its old highs over the coming months.

    TD Ameritrade (AMTD:Nasdaq, $21.30, 4,000 shares, 2.11%): Have already seen big numbers from everyone else in the space, so I would not be surprised to see the company exceed its preannounced results on Monday morning. I'm up 17% on this position, but maintain that Ameritrade can see $24 a share over the coming months.
     
    #395     Apr 22, 2006
  6. THREES

    Aqua America (WTR:NYSE, $25.63, 3,500 shares, 2.22%): Pared back 1,500 shares Wednesday, because I don't believe we need to play so much defense in the portfolio these days. Once again, it looks like we'll have to wait until the water utility posts earnings on May 3 for the stock to get a lift.

    BHP Billiton (BHP:NYSE ADR, $45.84, 2,500 shares, 2.84%): Sold 1,000 shares Monday and another 1,000 on Tuesday, effectively cutting my stake in half. It was prudent to take some profits off the table in the metals group this week, with BHP up 26% above my cost basis Even so, I believe the stock ultimately can see $50.

    Commerce Bancorp (CBH:NYSE, $37.30, 2,000 shares, 1.85%): Did not move much this week, but remains 10 points above my cost basis. Commerce is already trading for more than 20 times earnings, so even though it has the best growth prospects in the business, near-term upside could be limited to $40 a share.

    Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq, $27.19, 2,500 shares, 1.68%): Sold 2,000 shares Thursday because I believe the push-out of the Vista launch will cap some of Mister Softee's upside potential in 2006. As a reminder, the company will post its March-quarter results this coming Thursday evening.

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY:NYSE, $106.84, 1,000 shares, 2.65%): One of the laggard energy names that rallied hard this week, gaining 11% by the time the dust settled. The company is set to report earnings Tuesday morning, and even with oil over $75 a barrel, Occidental could be due for some post-report profit-taking. With that in mind, I may consider booking the 38% gain next week for a cheaper energy play.



    FOURS

    Bausch & Lomb (BOL:NYSE, $46.58, 4,000 shares, 4.62%): Even with the Food and Drug Administration taking an extra month to look at the data, I don't believe these guys will be as lucky as Cephalon was and have it turn out that the eye infections that may be tied to use of ReNu contact solution turn out to be a misdiagnosis. I remain committed to selling my entire stake, when my restrictions allow.

    Regards,

    James J. Cramer
     
    #396     Apr 22, 2006
  7. How do I hedge My self if the market begins to tank......CASH...My friend....CASH....I could leave the Market today and not look back till 2009 and feel like my 3 year performance has made me more money that I could of dreamed of......We are at the end of a case four bull market (It has lasted almost 3 years now).....Rising Rates, Rising Inflation, Rising Earnings, Rising stock Prices......Since the Market is forward looking a few big misses or some lowered guidance from some of the majors and we may slip into case 5 (1st stage of a bear market)

    Case 5: Rising Inflation, Rising Rates, Falling Earnings, Falling Stock Prices.......

    I am watching many key reports carefully and the treasury markets.....

    I am playing the oil markets long with Protective Puts on OIH at 155.....Will go to Airliners if Oil starts to fall....Been doing this switch all year with much short term success...

    I have been getting out of High multiple stocks in every rally and putting money to work in Low multiple Large Cap plays for some sense of security......

    The Gold/Miner story is great, but very long in the tooth....Last Wed I dumped almost every miner and Gold stock near the close to buy most of the back Thursday almost 8% cheaper across the board......I was just thinking that the way these things are trading 1% rise in Spot Gold = 5% rise in Mining company...It's ridiculous......I took the profits when everyone wanted it and bought them back the next day when people were dumping a day late......It was a thing of beauty.....I just set up a bunch of open buy orders like 10%, but at physiological levels (EXAMPLE...10.00, 10.25, 10.50, 10.75) lower hoping to get them filled sometime in the next week or two.....Most filled the very next day.....I couldn't believe it.....

    Also I had a hedge with my Metals plays by taking the best performer IIIN which I did not own, but I bought the April 55 Puts on the 18th at 1.65 ahead of the report and sold for 9.70 after they beat expectations, but the stock got creamed.....When their is just no more upside left, because the stock has just been priced for perfection...No report is a good report....

    I as well bought Puts on SNDK the day they reported after the PLAY disaster.....It just made sense that SNDK is just as vulnerable as PLAY when it comes to FLASH memory and AAPL contracts......By the way SAMSUNG is the real play on APPLE FLASH MEMORY....This was my hedge on my Semi plays going into option expiration.....

    Both options were very profitable considering that Theta was almost nill when they were purchased.....It made up for My TIE puts bought earlier....Now that was kind of dumb, looking back

    $COSTAverageMAN
     
    #397     Apr 22, 2006
  8. WatchList IBD100

    ABAX ADS ANDE AQNT ARP ATLS AVD BBD BLK BOOM BRCM BRG BTU CBG CCJ CHE CHRW CIB CLB CLDN CLZR CME CRDN CRED CRESY CTRN CTSH CWTR DBRN DECK DRIV DRQ DW DXPE ERS ET EXP EZPW FCFS GBX GDI GFIG GG GILD GOL GOOG GRMN GRP GWR GYMB HANS HOC HUBG IBCA ICE INFA ISE ITRI JOYG LIFC LVS MFLX MLR MTU NEU NSSC NTES NWRE OVTI OXPS PBR PCU PENN PETS PTRY RAVN RIN RS SCHK SCSS SHG STRL SWSI TEN THO TNB TRAD TSU TWGP TZOO UACL UFPI UPL USG VLO WAB WCC WFR WIRE WTI

    IBD 100 That I Own
    ANDE, BBD, BTU, CCJ, CRESY, DRQ, DXPE, ERS, GDI, GG, GILD, GRP, GWR, JOYG, NEU, PBR, PCU, PENN, RIN, SHG, TEN, TRAD, TZOO, UFPI, VLO

    IBD 100 That I Sold Last Week
    BRCM, CLDN, CME, CRDN, EXP, EZPW, GOL, ICE, ISE, LVS, MTU, OXPS, PTRY, RS, STRL, WFR

    I AM VERY HAPPY TO SEE THAT MY RANDOM THROWING OF DARTS (JUST KIDDING).....PRODUCES NAMES THAT ACTUALLY SHOW UP ALL OVER A LIST THAT IS SEEN BY MILLIONS.....ALSO THE FACT THAT I HAVE A CURRENT POSITION IN MOST NAMES MAKES ME FEEL EVEN MORE HAPPY OR HAVE ALREADY REAPED THE BENEFIT OF THESE NAMES AND MOVED ON...... :D

    $COSTAverageMAN
     
    #398     Apr 23, 2006
  9. My companies that are reporting on Monday

    I am looking for a good report from FDG (Fording Canadian Coal Trust), considering how well ACI (Arch Coal) and BTU (Peabody Energy) did this last quarter...

    CRS (Carpenter Tech)---This Titanium play in my opinion is as close to best of breed as it gets and a good report should confirm the recent price moves in this over bought over hyped sector.....RTI, ATI, TIE, USAP will all get dumped if they miss.....USAP just beat by a few cents when they reported to confirm my belief in this sector

    AMTD (Ameritrade)--- Lets hope all you folks out there have been busy hitting your keys...I know I have!!! :D .......TRAD on Tuesday as well reports....So if AMTD misses TRAD gets dumped as well

    HAL (Haliburton)--- Not very worried with this one....Got the whole Oil Service Sector hedged....And I doubt they ever mess up a quarter with Cheney in office...

    WFT (Weatherford)--- Another Oil service so I'm not worried

    CAT (Caterpillar Inc)...(Just being safe I sold 2/3 at 78.50....I expect them to beat hands down, but I got out at a nice price and no need to give back good gains on a sell the news kind of day)

    Stocks I owned that I did not want to carry into earnings and sold them off......

    RUTH (Ruth Chris Steak House)mostly because of New Orleans disruption to head quarters and DPI decrease in the middle class......
    GOL (Brazilian Airliner) Cramer and Wall St. Journal already gave this thing a huge move and last I checked they still run planes on Jet Fuel.......
    ATHR high multiple tech company with options to expense (84 P/E, 37 forward P/E) no need to give up nice gains and be a pig.....
    ANAD I expect them to beat and continue moving higher, but I have been reducing TECH positions across the board....

    My Companies reporting on TUESDAY

    BYD, BP, FRK, LAB, LAF (LR soon to be owner), MTW, MVK, NSS, OXY, NEU, PENN, PCZ, SII, TRAD, VLO, GRA, CME(I plan on buying back CME before Tuesdays report


    AKS and EZPW (Sold last week ahead of reports because of very nice short term runs)

    Watching MUR (Murphy Oil Corp) for refiners info/movement
    Watching DD (Dupont) for Chemical Status/movement
    Watching FAL (Falconbridge) for Copper and Ore news/movement
    Watching AKS and X for Steel info/movement
    Watching CP and BNI for Rail Info/Movement
    Watching VMC and LAF for Cement Info/Movement

    AND I STILL CAN'T GET E.T. to accept my excel sheets!!!

    $COSTAverageMAN
     
    #399     Apr 23, 2006
  10. Any of you For-Ex people out there that just happen to come across this forum.....Here's my question.....Lets say I wanted to hedge my Dollar exposure......Would you suggest the GBP or Swiss Frac as a good safety currency.....These are my worries (Long Term)....Eventually Asia stops buying our debt, we keep printing money, the dollar has less importance as the worlds currency, hyperinflation comes into play, Recession turns into depression, Oil markets go crazy after new WAR.....BLA...BLA...BLA

    You see I'm trying to look long term like 5 to 10 years out and I just don't see the Dollar holding up relative to a safe currency like GBP or Swiss Frac......Maybe I should just go to 100% GOLD and SILVER and OIL wieghting and be able to sleep in everyday until I die.....

    Any thoughts.....Maybe hedging in the futures markets or just simply converting dollars to a different currency and learning a foriegn market......I mean I wouldn't mind trading Nestle, Novartis, Roche, Swiss Re, UBS, Swatch, ABB, Synthes, Zurich Financial, CS Group........See I already know some of the SWISS market....:D

    $COSTAverageMAN
     
    #400     Apr 23, 2006