Blue - you are pathetic. When you were right for a day, you're getting all "hell yeah im right". now that you're wrong, it's "is that all you can do". Well, in between your loud mouth and your bad trades, everyone else was making money just riding the bull. At least you're right. Who cares about making money when being right in an anonymous internet msg board is more important.
From a macro scale it all comes down to the Fed and how it adds liquidity to the markets. Ever wonder why they no longer publish M3? HA HA! Because they dont want you to know they are taxing us via inflation. Anyhow, the data shows a direct correlation between the growth in repo's and the market. Repo's are loans the Fed makes to banks. Because of fractional reserve banking they loan out the money and invest in markets. So the influx of new capital pushes up the markets above prices some might think are over extended. So manipulation... maybe, maybe not. We trade what we see and not what we read or else we would all go broke listening to CNBC.
From a macro scale it all comes down to the Fed and how it adds liquidity to the markets. Ever wonder why they no longer publish M3? HA HA! Because they dont want you to know they are taxing us via inflation. Anyhow, the data shows a direct correlation between the growth in repo's and the market. Repo's are loans the Fed makes to banks. Because of fractional reserve banking they loan out the money and invest in markets. So the influx of new capital pushes up the markets above prices some might think are over extended. i just don`t think this ends pretty though.....as everyone will admit at some point it will stop going up......and its like a rubber band.....the farther you stretch/extend the markets.......the bigger snap-back you get----and it would have been healthier for the bulls to have had some pullback here----but we have come to far-----if its a total liquidity rally---then this has consequences/reprecusions for when a LITTLE FEAR comes back into the market and people start losing money and vix spikes to 22.00 like may/july. if indexes all over the world are at 6 year highs---i believe we have a world equities bubble----and we are setting up for a world market crash---we have never had all these indices up at 6 year highs at the same time----there just isn`t enough capital to sustain these levels worldwide at the same time---i don`t care how much money the fed is printing---when one market starts to fall---it will be a domino effect in my opinion--even bulls should be worried at this point---this is miami condo mania writ large. Just wait til there is a run on money, when the bubble starts to burst.....the vix is not going to stay at 9.80 for very long folks without dire consequences.
Blue...everything that goes up must come down. No one thinks this bull run will last forever. I also agree that when it falls, it's going to hurt, thus caution is a good thing.
what does repo`s stand for? why do they label these monetary money vehicles this way? When I hear repo`s I naturally think of failure to pay your car loan....and your car is repossesed. anybody?
Honestly why does it matter WHY it up today, if you cant spot the obvious reason maybe there is none. Who cares if the market went up today, put yourself in position to make a play given the market action. Now for those of you that are familar with my posts will realize what im about to say is way out of the norm. Could today have possibly been random? I dont really care because my style does not depend on why the market moved all my style cares about is that it moved and it had certain tones. Bottom line the reason the market moved is not whats important and if you are looking back wondering why it moved youve completely missed the boat.
I certainly don't see anything wrong with a little caution and some prudent hedging via whatever vehicles one finds appropriate.Trying to pick a top can be very expensive. The boys can pull the plug on this party in a heartbeat. And the party probably will continue thru the first of the year. This market is stretched beyond the historical norm.The hangover could be a bitch. Having been a broker during the crashes of 87 and 89,I personally keenly recommend diversification(markets and asset classes) and hedging. I have seen lives ruined(remember those who loved selling naked premium,among others ?). Greed is dangerous. Remember that.
They've sent the stocks to silly heights!! Not many learn from previous mistakes/crashes etc... ......theres clearly a storm brewing. It will be one big CRASH!!
now we know for sure what all those apple upgrades were REALLY all about.......they knew this news was coming out----wanted to have their x-mas cake rally, and eat it too!