Wake Up Early And Short Aapl As It Will Fall Below 75!!!

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by BlueStreek, Dec 27, 2006.

  1. Whatever you do today, dont look at the price of Apple. Dont look, trust me.

    I still believe, however, that Steve Jobs probably knows a lot more considering he is known as a "micro-manager". Most likely he was fully aware and probably directed the process.

     
    #61     Dec 29, 2006
  2. S2007S

    S2007S


    This is what they called F$#$3$ UP!!!!!!


    OR total manipulation to sell off AAPL shares only to run them right back up.

    What a F$@#$*% JOKE!!!!!!

    AMAZING, simply amazing. LIKE Nothing even happened....I would even go as far to say that I think this new line that reads

    "Apple Says Options Probe Finds No Misconduct by Managers, Has 'Complete Confidence' in Jobs " was known on wednesday night when the other news came out sayin he "might" have known. Look at the times of the 2 news pieces. One at 7:30pm, price of AAPL falls nearly 5% premarket thursday morning. Next statement at just about premarket hours on the last trading day of the year, they release at 8am: "• Apple Says Options Probe Clears Execs
    AP (Fri 8:02am) .

    Now why couldnt they release the 8am friday news on wednesday night to show that what he did was not wrong...MANIPULATIONNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN thats all itis......
     
    #62     Dec 29, 2006
  3. S2007S

    S2007S

    84.64, LIKE nothing ever happened. Cleared for takeoff. Got to love wallstreet and every game they play. Seeing this take place makes me want to just forget about investing for a lonnnnnnnnng time.
     
    #63     Dec 29, 2006
  4. Its not a game of manipulation, you just have to think it out logically.

    When a negative event happens, institutions will sell automatically to limit risk and bring cash to safe harbor. During this flight to safety, stops are hit and smaller time investors will cash out believing that the move was legitimate causing an even further fall.

    Most always, the selling reaction is usually overdone. Now that the short term risk appears to have been taken away, the institutions are buying back in and this causes smaller time investors to buy back in. The buyback is also probably going to be an over-reaction and the stock may be back down again in a week or two. Remember that we are at the end of the Christmas season and now going into a different time of year.

    You should use caution with Apple in any event. I dont believe the Feds are just going to sweep this aside because some board said that everything was ok. You know that there is a good chance of additional news coming out. The Feds placed Martha Stewart in jail for a seemingly small inside trade. Why should the Feds treat Steve Jobs different especially when he is not on the side of the current administration...Al Gore was on the investigating committee? Yep, you know the Feds are going to be at it trying to find something then...

    Apple was good for a few short term trades, but I would use caution longing it into the future. Its already trading at a P/E of 35 and for it to jump another 30% seems a little bit unrealistic especially with the economic conditions that are forecasted next year.
     
    #64     Dec 29, 2006
  5. Even there's fake option documents, does it affect the future earning power of Apple? Would they sell less ipods and macs because of these documents? The answer is no. + Apple has a sharpe retracement off its 52 week high.

    I hope you guys cover your shorts by now.
     
    #65     Dec 29, 2006
  6. S2007S

    S2007S

    I followed AAPL the last few days of the selloff in the premarket...

    Yesterday morning there were 50-100 share lots moving the stock from a low of 77 to a high at just about 80 before the opening. These werent institutions selling large blocks in the premarket nor aftermarket wed night into thursday morning. I noticed that each of the days that AAPL opened down 3-4 dollars it powered its way back to just about unchanged.
     
    #66     Dec 29, 2006
  7. Im not focused so much on the options scandal, although it would seem that this would serve as a distraction to management.

    I believe that we are at the end of the Christmas cycle and moving on to the next. Apple has been sliding for the last month and it slid last year right after Christmas.

    The time to have been bullish on Apple was over the summer. I believe jumping on Apple right now is a bit late in the game. You may get a few good short term trades, but the longer picture I believe is down.

    You have to remember that the P/E is still a bit high and that 2007 will be different. How different? Thats to be seen. I dont believe Apple is a real deal at this time.

     
    #67     Dec 29, 2006
  8. S2007S

    S2007S


    tell cnbc that, those fools made it sound like a stock options probe would mean less sales for AAPL. Who is coming up with these stories and stupid thoughts that an options probe in AAPL means less IPOD sales. cnbc is pathetic
     
    #68     Dec 29, 2006
  9. I don't think Apple's P/E is high if its able to keep up its growth. IMHO. PEG is relatively low.
     
    #69     Dec 29, 2006
  10. lescor

    lescor

    The question should be, who is making investing/trading decisions based on what CNBC talking heads are saying...
     
    #70     Dec 29, 2006