Vote: Who thinks S&P500 will reverse trend in the next 10 days (2 weeks)?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by schizo, Mar 5, 2024.

Will S&P reverse within the next 2 weeks?

Poll closed Mar 19, 2024.
  1. YES!!!

    14 vote(s)
    48.3%
  2. NO, NEVER!!!

    8 vote(s)
    27.6%
  3. Who cares?! (I'm delta neutral anyway)

    7 vote(s)
    24.1%
  1. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    when I left Wall Street, I realized the richest people in finance were permabulls.
     
    #21     Mar 5, 2024
    schizo, NoahA, Specterx and 3 others like this.
  2. mikeriley

    mikeriley

    I've read all their books, (more than once) and have an idea concerning their ideas
    about staying humble. But you definitely don't know, and will never
    know until you take the time to read their books. Which you will
    never do, since you've stated several times you never read.

    So for you to assume you know what they value is juvenile.

    You are the only man I know, (not personally) that's allergic
    to education.
     
    #22     Mar 5, 2024
    SimpleMeLike and schizo like this.
  3. comagnum

    comagnum

    Surf is up - big wave sets coming through.

    upload_2024-3-5_16-29-17.png
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2024
    #23     Mar 5, 2024
    Sekiyo and NoahA like this.
  4. NoahA

    NoahA

    All this talk about NVDA, and where the hell did this chart come from? Are these guys making AI clothing??? Stitching chips into shirt pockets??? This is absolutely shocking!!!
     
    #24     Mar 5, 2024
  5. NoahA

    NoahA

    I bet they won't be able to repeat this same feat again. I know, the saying "you only need to get rich once" comes to mind, but there is no way the next 20 years are like the last 20 years. The other saying "don't confuse brains with a bull market" is quite applicable here.
     
    #25     Mar 5, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  6. mervyn

    mervyn

    permabulls they are because the asset pricing is not a normal distribution. The worst one can lose is back to zero, so the market pushes up, among other factors, qe for one.
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2024
    #26     Mar 5, 2024
    Axon and schizo like this.
  7. schizo

    schizo

    That might be true, but at the same time, how much is that actually attributed to their trading skill and not just dumb luck? With Uncle Sam providing the backstop these days, ya don't need to be a whiz to make money. But how did they do in 2022, let alone in 2008?
     
    #27     Mar 5, 2024
    Picaso and NoahA like this.


  8. Hehehe @SimpleMeLike well done
    long or short ?
     
    #28     Mar 5, 2024
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  9. NoahA

    NoahA

    In trading, everyone gets taught a lesson, right? The bulls, the bears, and I also think soon, the buy and hold crowd. The past 40 years was all because of the steady drop in interest rates. It inflated assets prices, and allowed inflation to be hidden. (I feel so smart for learning about how the US has exported inflation all these years, so that is why we didn't see it)

    We are now in a new era. Rates are higher, and if they stay like this, half of the economy cannot cope. If they drop them in a bid to save the economy, I think selling treasuries and funding governments becomes very difficult, and the currency suffers. The era of money printing to run the game is over. I think the path forward is the USD goes higher and takes down everyone else, and then USD collapses.

    Enter Bitcoin, and maybe gold, and we will start with a new system. But this means real estate wealth, equity wealth, bond wealth... its all gone. The buy and hold crowd is finished. The name of the game going forward is learning to adapt to the new world order, and even Dalio said exactly this I think.
     
    #29     Mar 5, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  10. Good Evening beginner66,

    lol, why in the WORLD would I want to EVER EVER EVER in my natural life want to short the SP 500 Index??? WHY?

    It is like the dumbest thing on earth to do.

    I am LONG SP 500 Index FOR life man. Like, its EASY auto pilot money. I do not even check the account.

    GURANTEED MONEY. Like come on man, this shit is annoying me man. Like NOONE wants to get RICH. Everybody think so small. Man, lets get RICH.

    I am LONG TQQQ and SP 500 Index Vanguard Fund FOR life until $2 million in my account and GUESS what, I AM NOT DOING NOOOOOO work. NONE, zip , nothing. Just put my money in there.

    This shit is EASY. Its easy.

    That damn TQQQ hit for like 200% last year. EASY MONEY for me.
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2024
    #30     Mar 5, 2024
    beginner66 likes this.