Best to create an organised but simplistic structure within your mind. profitable trading is about simple systematic application over and over. Remember - Logical overview - simplistic systematic application.
Thinking takes time to do. It is commonly known that reading does not achieve forward progress. Reading has a companion. Mine is the paper and pencil. i have explained the three most prevelant operators for combining inference (90%) and sensing (10%) to attain perception; they are space, shape and movement. To preceive orthogonality I asked you to perceive the space that contained two lines of type and to perceive there were six smaller spaces in that larger space.. I gave you space fillers in the form of shapes called words. I asked you to move the shapes into the smaller spaces to be able to percieve what otrhogonality was, intellectually. You got stuck on an externality called 90 degrees which is in your mind from some prior experience. You forfeited a learning opportunity because your mind is not capable of doing a task to learn anymore. Reread the prior sentence 5 times. This IS the HS of the algorithm of the market; it is complete and arranged in an "in kind" manner: If Volume is increasing, then price will be continuing. If Volume is decreasing, then price will be changing. H1 and H2 state the independent and dependent nature of each of the variables. "If" applies to one veriable and "then" applies to a different variable. Measures of variables in hypotheses have to be in kind as well. A used gerunds to do this in kind thing. A relativistic standard got set, as well. Two data locii have to be used to make a measure. And one measurement can follow another in terms of like kind measures. Write the opposites of the price gerunds. You do percieve two more terms. From this you can percieve the original two terms are NOT opposites. Can you perceive what the relationship of the original terms are, in fact? No you cannot percieve that the two original terms are orthogonal. This is because you just read and you do not think. All you do is respray wordsfrom pages you have read on pages of words you write. Carnap gives you logic theory. You do not use it. You cannot put the words into a hypothesis after Keynes gives you paradigm theory. There is no way you can use what Mandelbrot gave you to interlock the trend fractals part by part. You can't use any of the named things you mention for trading. Years and years go by for you and nothing changes. You may be a carpenter for 10 years but all you did was be the same year after year and you cannot become a master carpenter. You have to learn to learn, first. This involves thinking and learning IS a process. You know how to be tired. You learned to be tired from being tired over and over and over. Get five sheets of blank paper. Get a crayon (not the same color as the paper). Draw a complete trend of three bars by drawing accelerating volume bars as the only bars after the end of a priior trend. Scan the sheet of paper. Save it in a usable file format that ET accepts. Use the name PP1 for the file name. Attach the scanned named file to your next post after you have gotten rested. Read this: bar 1 and bar 2 combined represent "continuing". Bar 2 and bar 3 combined with the "continuing" (see above sentence) under one unique context representing "change" to end the trend of three bars length. State to me the word you read that constitutues this unique context facet. The word begins with a and ends with g and is 12 letters long. I am asking you to slow down and start thinking. Is this too much to ask? Here is an incentive for you. I am the only one you have met who knows how the market operates (fully and completely with 100% certainty). See the movies Zero Dark Thirty and ARGO. See the good guys use deduction; see the bad guys use deduction. In either movie you would be dead because you do not think.
An example of this trade (Long to short) happened on bar 13 today (22JAN13). An example of this event that was a failure to trade happened on bar 20 today (22JAN13) (continue to hold long)
============ Great question ,Paddler. When big bank home forclosures+ home forclosures flood the market; who is in comtrol???????????????????????????????? Hint ..its probably not the big banks; they keep lowering the price//keep lowering the price///keep lowering the price until the buyers + cash buyers take a shot,,LOL
To understand the first trade example, you have to have the means of knowing a trend ended prior to the trend ending announced. This specific trend end is on bar 9. It has a name: PP3. The names of PP1 and PP3 show a relationship among End Effects. PP is common to both. Both are part of a subset of 10 subsets of the 35 elements in the End Effects set. To begin a PP3 the first two measured bars are both peaks one after another (or to say it another way a peak is furthered on the next bar after first occurring). A formula or a criteria set could be used to code this as a true/false answer. Once a True happens then a next volume bar (bar 8) measurement is possible if price gives permission. No permission was obtained. Permission on bar 9 happens and it is seen that the trough is between two intial peaking bars. This criteria meets a trade requirement named PP3. Now the analysis that leads to the trade on bar 13 may begin NEXT. The results of analysis are slightly different than the crayola work (still to be posted after rest is first achieved) for the tasked PP1. By giving up on doing the original sheet for the price cases, it may be possible to do a smaller task to begin. This may not be possible either. As smaller and smaller tasks are requested, it may be possible to get one small task done. Sister Montessori taught small shildren use sticks she collected and made different colors according to their size. They did not even have a roof over their heads. Most potential traders are not smalll children with not roof over them and no knowledge of Arithmetic. The small children did work with the sister. She helped them begin to do tasks that lead them to learn addition and subtraction, and multiplication and division. They made long term memory tables in their minds by doing repeated drills that had a purpose. In learning trading, it is important to begin with the ten cases of adjacent price bars. If this is done, then only a few hours are required to become profitable. Sister Montessor got the children to build inference. By having inference, the children were able to have perception when sensing with their eyes. In trading, perception is very important. The operators of the mind that help are seeing a space. Seeing a shape. And seeing a movement. All are seen in parallel to "read a market". as being proved here, most potential traders never get to "see the market" muchless "read the market". It has been proven that a horse can be lead to water. The horse, at the water, personally, has the decide to drink. Water in this story is a necessity of life for horses. For trading, some form of "tape reading" is a requirement (information flow that is "seen") Most traders do not own "tickers" not have "ticker Western Union" lines. Montessori "sticks" have an invincible atribute. They could be compared. What kinds of potential traders cannot be taught to compare?