Due the fact that I had rest I didn't do any analysis in july. But there are total analysis of scenarios for June 19. First of all I found that there are clear movement, which I noticed as Long for up movement and Short for down movement. And Standard as standard movement - so trend is not clear and it looks as whipsaw or ballance accumulation.All scenarios were created for intraday trading. But due that I don't know which conditions you can have for opening and closing positions I decided to check when we open position when US (mostly Chicago) session opened and I chose 15-00 for closing position. For FDAX it's 9-00 am (EU Time), American indices at 8:30 (Chicago time), commodities and currency futures at 8:00 am by Chicago. So total result you can see below:
All trades only using 1 contract. No SL, TP. Just opening at the start session and closing in the end. Total %% of correct scenarios is 67.57 %. Total %% of winning position:61%. Difference between correct scenarios and winning position follow: when we have correct scenario, but I lost because had bad points for opening and/or closing position.
The whole results and conclusion described there: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/results-and-conclusions-2019-discussion.341013/
Morning. What is the difference between trend following and contrtrend (trading in range) strategies? Much often prices action are in range, mostly of the time. But when trend happens you can take much bigger movements with lower risk. It's easy to find the trend when it happened, but the good task is how to identify trend movement when it just starts. In this case we can check accumulation for the previous periods. When price breaks it through it might be good chance for trend movement. Today might be good movement on CL