VIX futures decoupled from underlying around the end of March?

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by stochastix, Aug 27, 2020.

    • the VIX is by definition the square root of the variance swap rate implied by SPX options
    • current VIX futures (with maturity T) prices are between the forward volatility swap rate and the forward-variance swap rate over the period (T,T+30/365).
    • The instantaneous variance of SPX , V(t), is a linear function of the square of VIX.
     
    Last edited: Aug 30, 2020
    #21     Aug 30, 2020
    trader221 likes this.
  1. I cant handle the high-resolution video. Too many damn pixels that arent porn freaks me out.

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.01789

    The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem
    Jim Gatheral, Paul Jusselin, Mathieu Rosenbaum
    Fitting simultaneously SPX and VIX smiles is known to be one of the most challenging problems in volatility modeling. A long-standing conjecture due to Julien Guyon is that it may not be possible to calibrate jointly these two quantities with a model with continuous sample-paths. We present the quadratic rough Heston model as a counterexample to this conjecture. The key idea is the combination of rough volatility together with a price-feedback (Zumbach) effect.
     
    #23     Sep 5, 2020