VIX fly / spread journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Jgills, Oct 22, 2012.

  1. NKVI>NH

    NKVI>NH


    jgills is correct

    he is shorting the spread..think of it this way

    right now aug sept is 101ish...he wants the price to go down...hence short the spread, in order for the spread to flatten, he is going long aug, short sept

    aug rises more than sept does...goes to 85, he makes great money

    short the spread by selling it
     
    #481     May 16, 2017
  2. NKVI>NH

    NKVI>NH


    sensible trade

    a/s is the dip in the curve..better chance for it to flatten or hump
     
    #482     May 16, 2017
  3. Jgills

    Jgills

    Dolemite and i960, the only thing you've talked about is an outright long/short Vix future position. I have a spread on, not an outright future. Unless I have it wrong, your reasoning for not liking the August sep calendar is that people are complaining Vol is low? Why are you ruling out the spread going down with Vol levels going lower? I actually think that is how I end up making money, even though I would much prefer it being from a Vol up event, because there is much more money to make on that side of it.
     
    #483     May 16, 2017
  4. i960

    i960

    This is some equity trader mumbo jumbo. Everyone trading spreads in every other futures based instrument quotes them as long == +front/-back, short == -front/+back. If I'm short the CL Z18/Z19 spread I am *short* Z18, long Z19. There is no way I am crazy about this.

    No, I'm specifically talking about the Aug/Sep spread as in the exchange traded VX Q7-U7 spread. That's not outright, it's a spread. Now, I think you have me wrong here. I absolutely like a long (meaning benefits from FLATTENING) spread position in the mid/back part of the curve as an idea. My point was that the "VIX is super low!" "VIX is super low!" talk has been going on for a couple of weeks now in the popular finance related media - so just who do you think is going to be piling into VXX, VX longs, and the like only to get fucked over? Additionally, if QU is really a trade that's a no brainer, the market surely must be stupid as fuck right now because there's not really any sign of the market buying that spread right now based on price action alone.

    I like the idea of the spread. I want to get long the spread. I want to see the market show it's hand first.
     
    #484     May 16, 2017
  5. The CFE direct feed for the natives has all spreads listed -front/+back so if you are bullish on vol you have to buy the near term i.e. sell the spread. Perhaps ask them to change it because it doesn't conform with your trader lingo :)

    Plenty of mumbo jumbo swirling around in my head but I've always been under the impression that buying the near term is a bull spread not long. You are bullish on the price of the commodity as the near term moves faster.
     
    Last edited: May 17, 2017
    #485     May 16, 2017
    El OchoCinco likes this.
  6. i960

    i960

    You're absolutely right about this with regard to how CFE quotes the spreads directly as I just looked it up because I never use their quotes directly. My comment about "equity mumbo jumbo" was in regards to this spread quoting. It's also why @cdcaveman asked "-/+" because of the typical confusion when it comes to vol or equity index related spreads and FX spreads (which are also "reverse") vs pretty much everything else.

    I guess from now on I'll make it exceedingly clear what I mean by "long" or "short" a spread when it comes to anything VX. :banghead:
     
    #486     May 17, 2017
  7. Interactive Brokers reverses everything else as well and quotes -/+. You have to sell the oil, metals, etc. spreads if you want to be long the near term. My guess is they want the contango expressed as a positive number.
     
    #487     May 17, 2017
    kinggyppo likes this.
  8. I guess they simply borrowed the convention from option calendar spreads where a short calendar is +short term/-long term, that is the way I carried over the lingo but in the end as long as the order goes through as I want it with the right short/long legs, they can call it a Beyonce Spread :)
     
    #488     May 17, 2017
  9. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    In options world, you sell if you receive premium and you buy if you pay it.

    This applies to risk reversals, calendars, diagonals, whatever.
     
    #489     May 17, 2017
  10. But if you sell a calendar in options you are long the front month which results in a net credit (selling longer term option) so we are saying the same thing I think and it carried over for some in the VX switches. I tend to say short the calendar when I am short the front/closer month. Either way it is just semantics as long as the order is entered correctly :)
     
    #490     May 17, 2017