I don't necessarily look at numbers of the vix. I look at the trend. If it is going down the market will rise, PERIOD!
as i recall reading somewhere: VIX >10% below 10MA means flat to down market in the following 2 weeks. i am not sure if this works during the expiration week.
During this 2 year uptrend/channel, when the $VIX has crossed below the 11 Level (horizontal green line on the chart), the market has formed an intermediate term price high followed by a retracement. For highs (blue lines), it has taken a retest of 11 or price divergence (as denoted on the chart) to get the sentiment shift to stick and the sellers to get control of the market.
I will have to redraw the chart once the $VIX turns up on the daily. I think I will zoom it in on the most recent 2 years, where this 11 level has been in play.
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (WCB:^VIX) Delayed quote data Edit Index Value: 9.71 Trade Time: 1:51PM ET Change: Down 0.26 (2.61%) Prev Close: 9.97 Open: 9.68 Day's Range: 9.39 - 9.79 52wk Range: 9.64 - 23.81
hey bro.. you know they have to leave room for more dowside vix/upside market.... "pay no attention to the man behind the curtain..."
Wow up 8% to 10.75, now that is what I call manipulation, this indicator is useless just like most wall street created devices, just focus on price alone.