usdcad Pr(OK) High Low 90.32% 1.0580 1.0445 92.65% 1.0583 1.0441 95.05% 1.0587 1.0435 96.54% 1.0591 1.0430 97.68% 1.0595 1.0424 98.49% 1.0598 1.0419 99.04% 1.0602 1.0414 99.41% 1.0606 1.0408 99.64% 1.0610 1.0403 99.79% 1.0613 1.0398 99.88% 1.0617 1.0393 99.94% 1.0621 1.0387 gbpchf Pr(OK) High Low 90.32% 2.4320 2.4036 92.65% 2.4327 2.4026 95.05% 2.4337 2.4012 96.54% 2.4345 2.4001 97.68% 2.4354 2.3989 98.49% 2.4362 2.3977 99.04% 2.4371 2.3965 99.41% 2.4379 2.3953 99.64% 2.4388 2.3941 99.79% 2.4396 2.3929 99.88% 2.4405 2.3917 nzdusd Pr(OK) High Low 90.32% 0.7731 0.7561 92.65% 0.7735 0.7554 95.05% 0.7741 0.7545 96.54% 0.7745 0.7538 97.68% 0.7750 0.7530 98.49% 0.7755 0.7522 99.04% 0.7760 0.7514 99.41% 0.7764 0.7506 99.64% 0.7769 0.7499 99.79% 0.7774 0.7491
EURCAD Sell Pr(OK) High Low 90.32% 1.4604 1.4404 92.65% 1.4609 1.4397 95.05% 1.4616 1.4388 96.54% 1.4622 1.4381 97.68% 1.4629 1.4374 98.49% 1.4635 1.4366 99.04% 1.4642 1.4359 99.41% 1.4648 1.4351 99.64% 1.4655 1.4343 99.79% 1.4661 1.4336 99.88% 1.4667 1.4328 USD/JPY Buy Pr(OK) High Low 90.32% 119.6670 118.0666 92.65% 119.7121 118.0155 95.05% 119.7724 117.9473 96.54% 119.8226 117.8905 97.68% 119.8753 117.8309 98.49% 119.9281 117.7713 99.04% 119.9808 117.7116 99.41% 120.0335 117.6520 99.64% 120.0862 117.5924 99.79% 120.1390 117.5327 99.88% 120.1917 117.4731 99.94% 120.2444 117.4134
Sounds like a variation on Bollinger bands ... how many days do you go back? Meanwhile, I offer you GSP's Law: if you read about a trend in the Globe & Mail, it's already over. Today there's an article about the strong yen and the weak dollar ... means the carry trade has pretty much finished unwinding and is about to take off again. I was in at 117.98, looking good so far.
I agree GS Now Working with the range on USD/CAD USD/CAD 1.0408 1.0671 USDJPY 120.35 117.55 Using Hourly and 119.84 117.53 Using 1/2 Hour 119.8416428 117.9298287 15 Minutes
GS/ Intersting "How Far You Go Back"?" U My friend is a very clever Man IMO Not Many asked me this before
DOing some Crosses EURCHF 1.6575 1.6341 EURJPY 165.9132 161.7748 AUDJPY 104.8670 99.4312 AUDCHF 1.0471 1.0003 EURNZD 1.8376 1.7671 EURCAD 1.4648 1.4287 AUDCAD 0.9135 0.8913 GBPCHF 2.4541 2.3959
GS / U getting this CADJPY as a crashing in the next 2 days? I could be wrong but seems Like wants to do 10 figures in in that time. Most likely wrong. from 1.14
Dunno. USDJPY carry trade is picking up, whereas USDCAD seems to be stuck in a holding pattern between 0350 and 0700, currently in mid-channel. Slowdown in M&A because of the fallout from subprime should take away some of the upward pressure on CAD, and oil is starting to drop again ... on the other hand Dodge is going to bump rates again and the Canadian economy seems to be adjusting to the high loonie, the figures are better than I thought they'd be. It all adds up to a fairly static loonie while USDJPY zigzags upwards, so the cross should do the same, no? I'm expecting a USDCAD rally in the fall, by which time the Yen carry trade should be peaking again, which would mean another unwind in USDJPY and a sharper one in CADJPY. Anyway, I don't do crosses any more because of the IB margin problem.
Maybe Works Like this When price Now is Less then SMA 117 Days of Close Take the close*(L:C) @ what ever the Trader is comfortable with 90%...95%..Etc so w/ these conditions with 118.12 close and at 90.32% Sure would order at 118.12*0.98985 =116.92 Maybe ok to use Note: ================ L:C is Low Given Close H:C is High Given Close ============= Price<SMA 117 Price<SMA 117 H:C L:C Pr(OK) 1.00711 0.98985 90.32% 1.00758 0.98932 92.65% 1.00821 0.98862 95.05% 1.00873 0.98804 96.54% 1.00928 0.98743 97.68% 1.00983 0.98682 98.49% 1.01038 0.98621 99.04% 1.01092 0.98559 99.41% 1.01147 0.98498 99.64% 1.01202 0.98437 99.79% 1.01257 0.98376 99.88% 1.01312 0.98315 99.94% 1.01367 0.98254 99.97% 1.01422 0.98192 99.98% 1.01477 0.98131 99.99% Price>SMA 117 Price>SMA 117 H:C L:C Pr(OK) 1.00614 0.99252 90.32% 1.00650 0.99202 92.65% 1.00697 0.99137 95.05% 1.00737 0.99082 96.54% 1.00779 0.99024 97.68% 1.00821 0.98966 98.49% 1.00863 0.98909 99.04% 1.00905 0.98851 99.41% 1.00947 0.98793 99.64% 1.00989 0.98736 99.79% 1.01031 0.98678 99.88% 1.01073 0.98620 99.94% 1.01115 0.98563 99.97% 1.01157 0.98505 99.98% 1.01198 0.98447 99.99%
High Low 1.0811 1.0423 1.0813 1.0420 1.0816 1.0417 1.0819 1.0413 1.0822 1.0410 1.0825 1.0407 1.0828 1.0404 1.0831 1.0401 1.0834 1.0398 1.0837 1.0394 1.0840 1.0391 1.0842 1.0388 1.0845 1.0385 1.0848 1.0382 1.0851 1.0379 I am placing all these for USDCAD