Verisimilitude Fund

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Pekelo, Jul 15, 2006.

  1. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Long from 1279
     
    #41     Aug 7, 2006
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Selling at 1280.25 a 1.25 gain
     
    #42     Aug 7, 2006
  3. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Short from 1284.75
     
    #43     Aug 8, 2006
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Covering at 1282.75 a 2 points gain
     
    #44     Aug 8, 2006
  5. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Short from 1283.25
     
    #45     Aug 8, 2006
  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Covering at 1281.25 a 2 gain
     
    #46     Aug 8, 2006
  7. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    My long term indicator is on sell mode, but I expect high volatility after the 14:15 FOMC announcement, so I am planning to short when there is a spike....
     
    #47     Aug 8, 2006
  8. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Shorting at 1286
     
    #48     Aug 8, 2006
  9. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Covering at 1280 a 6 points gain :)

    Edit: As I mentioned, I am bearish, but I have to go somewhere and I am not able to monitor the position, thus I covered...
     
    #49     Aug 8, 2006
  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Looks like there was another spike up that ended up in a selloff. The day ended just 1.5 lower where I sold, so I didn't miss much.

    Let's have a summary here. The fund is up 64.75 ES points with 16 winning trades in a row. In % that is 5.18% because about 12.5 ES points is 1 %. (SPX started the year at 1248)

    When I started less than a month ago, the SPX was at -1 YTD and now it is at +2% so it advanced 3%. My fund advanced more than 5%, so in less than a month I already outperformed the market by 2%.

    Since there is a built in 2% coming from the CDs, I could easily stop trading and just be in the market for the rest of the year, because that 4% extra that I have could easily take care of the timedecay (about 15 ES points from here).

    So, if I am able to outperform the market with such a simple strategy in such a short time with a 3rd grade education, how come that half of the funds underperform the markets??? :)
     
    #50     Aug 8, 2006