Verisimilitude Fund

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Pekelo, Jul 15, 2006.

  1. Nice trades pekelo.. care to explain a bit about your entry/exit strategy?
    #21     Jul 26, 2006
  2. Pekelo


    Well, today I missed 2 runups. Since the idea is to be in the market all the time or at last when it is more likely to go up then down, it is generally easier than trying to play it both way. Remember, I only have to outperform the SPX, I don't necessery have to finish in the green, although I plan to do so.

    I don't really want to go into details, because I use this and that, but today after 14:30 I was pretty sure of a pullback (I was flat at that time) because we had a giant RSI divergence on the 15 mins chart and on the longer term chart we reached the edge of the double bottom, which is a deciding zone (could go both way). Right now we have a head and shoulder formation, so I am going to wait until tomorrow to decide if I want to be long or not...

    My bet is down, but we shall see....
    #22     Jul 26, 2006
  3. wow these are excellent trades.


    I will be following from now on....

    #23     Jul 27, 2006
  4. Pekelo


    Thanks, although I am not statisfied with myself. The idea is to be in the market most of the time, and I haven't stuck to the rules all the time so far. As a result I missed a couple of bigger runups.

    The real deal is going to come when I successfully short the market, because it counts as double against the SPX. Basicly with the original strategy, if I can catch twice a 10-10 pts drop being in short, I don't have to do anything for the rest of the year, just be long and the goal of outperforming the SPX is achieved....

    Actually, even catching short a 10 pts drop would make up for the timepremium, because that is about 18 ES points for 6 months. How difficult can that be??? :)
    #24     Jul 27, 2006
  5. Pekelo


    Long 1 unit from 1275.25...
    #25     Jul 27, 2006
  6. Pekelo


    Selling at 1278.25 a 3 points gain...
    #26     Jul 27, 2006
  7. nice! Im very impressed.

    #27     Jul 27, 2006
  8. Pekelo


    Long from 1272
    #28     Jul 27, 2006
  9. Pekelo


    Selling at 1275.25 a 3.25 points gain
    #29     Jul 28, 2006
  10. Pekelo


    Short 1 unit from 1280.50
    #30     Jul 28, 2006