Ozzy, I like your journal because it is one of the very rare journals that clearly and honestly displays the progress of the experiment and I sincerely whish you the best. But, unfortunately, I have to tell you that rokafella had very good observations to share and probably wanted to help you. When reading this thread a moment ago, I also wanted to advise you to reflect on why you âthoughtâ that ER2 was going above a certain level. It seemed like it was a very spontaneous thought. Your defensive reaction to his post also made me think that you were using an approach with which you might not be comfortable. It took me years to conclude that, independently of my personality or preferences, the best way to make a lot of money (statistically speaking) is not with an approach that aims at making quick profits frequently but with one that catches a few good waves. My journal provides an example of what I'm talking about. To learn more about this phenomenon, the Gambler's Ruin problem taught in financial economics would be a very good introduction.