USDJPY - stay alert - for poss. reversal

Discussion in 'Forex' started by deadbroke, Aug 11, 2010.

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  1. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    [​IMG]
     
    #51     Oct 5, 2010
  2. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    Analysis: Investors bet on initial success for Japan on yen

    "It's incredible how unfazed investors are about the downside on dollar/yen," said Simon Smollett, options analysts at Credit Agricole.

    "It tells us Japanese corporates are not worried (about the possibility of dollar/yen falling), nor are the market makers in dollar/yen options, and even the hedge funds don't see any edge there."

    The one-month 25-delta risk reversal shows a premium of 0.9 to buy yen calls over puts, a fall from 1.5 prior to intervention. This tallies with positioning data, which shows speculators have slashed bets on yen gains.

    Implied volatility -- a measure of financial market risk and a key factor in calculating option prices -- has also come down, with one-month dollar/yen volatility trading around 11 percent compared with 13 percent before intervention.

    http://us.mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6943V720101005?ca=rdt
     
    #52     Oct 5, 2010
  3. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    I wonder if Japan does peg the Yen what will that mean for our positions in Jpy crosses? Will brokers be allowed to cancel trades?
     
    #53     Oct 6, 2010
  4. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    Looks like you're on a roll, as in two in a row.

    Maybe you should go with the alternate wave count. :D

    Try harder will'ya, you owe me money.
     
    #54     Oct 6, 2010
  5. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    We might get a flush now in Ninja
     
    #55     Oct 7, 2010


  6. 4H pend order above continues - no better entry possible yet

    1H higher risk Long entry @ close > 82.6 (to be considered but might not act on it)
     
    #56     Oct 9, 2010
  7. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    So a reversal is still possible?

    :D

    I'll alert the media.
     
    #57     Oct 9, 2010
  8. TheMan

    TheMan

    you may want to make a long call here with a target of 84.20 :cool:

    well i am long from 81.5




    18-1 RR

    monthly is still short as i was saying

    but a couple of h1 cycles just ended and we have a chance at 84.2
     
    #58     Oct 10, 2010
  9. JSSPMK

    JSSPMK

    C'MON BOJ take us to 88-90 Monthly 20 SMA ;)

    FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Asian investors injected large inflows into Japanese crosses to the extreme that it may take no much longer to rattle the nerves from BoJ decision-makers again. As a matter of fact, IMF and G7 weekend meetings showed no censure measures on Japan's recent unilateral intervention in FX market, suggesting the odds for a second round may be higher now.

    Read more: http://community.nasdaq.com/news/20...on-the-alert.aspx?storyid=39792#ixzz120YgY1Jn
     
    #59     Oct 10, 2010
  10. TheMan

    TheMan

    man how bad would it suck for you if i come in to your thread and make a call with 18-1 RR that hits right out of the gate


    lol
     
    #60     Oct 10, 2010
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