USDJPY - How high?

Discussion in 'Forex' started by antiseptic, Nov 23, 2016.

  1. And yes I do trade FX. I have about 5 open positions, which I'll mostly close before Christmas.
     
    #21     Dec 17, 2016
  2. Nice ! you must be a long-term trader :)
    Out of them, I guess one of them must be yen.
    Since yen is a safe heaven currency and U.S economy may (or is expected to) enter a strong economic period in the coming year, U.S dollar may strength more at the interest decision next Monday.
    Yep, I will not trade anymore this year after that too
     
    #22     Dec 17, 2016
    justrading likes this.
  3. Yes I'm closing out as we go along. Had a good ride with NZDJPY, over 400 pips but size too small of course. Never wise before only after. Be back mid-January.
     
    #23     Dec 17, 2016
    victorycountry likes this.
  4. 400 pips is awesome ! Just out of curiosity, how long did you hold NZDJPY for?
     
    #24     Dec 17, 2016
  5. Surprise

    Surprise

    130s
     
    #25     Dec 17, 2016
  6. Just out of curiosity, what does that mean?? :)
     
    #26     Dec 17, 2016
  7. Entered on 22nd November at 78.12
    Took profit on 12th December at 82.88

    I only got a half fill. Price took off without giving me a fill on my sub-78 order. I always split my entries into 2 or 3 tranches. Pleased with the result, unhappy I didn't get the size so this is something I need to work on obviously.
     
    #27     Dec 18, 2016
    victorycountry likes this.
  8. An article on negative interest rate by bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...atilitis-negative-rates-brexit-and-then-trump

    Yen fluctuations also surged with the BOJ’s policy shifts, as Kuroda adopted negative rates, disappointed hopes for follow-up action, and then overhauled his whole framework away from quantitative easing toward yield-curve targeting. Things calmed down with the November meeting, and Tuesday’s looming decision is also expected to be a yawner.

    The unexpected Trump-triggered reflation rally turned frowns into smiles for stock investors, while putting pressure on bonds. Government bond prices climbed about 7 percent in the first half as the negative-rate shock reverberated, before Kuroda’s adoption of yield-curve control and the global sell-off in debt pulled them back. They’re now up about 2 percent for the year.


    Discussion on negative interest rate
    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/why-japanese-yen-appreciate-even-under-negative-rate.301272/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/what-can-one-expect-from-negative-interest-rates.297489/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/can-interest-rate-go-negative.141827/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...ive-interest-on-government-bonds-work.297757/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...am-just-like-bubble-ben-bernanke-here.289653/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...ive-interest-on-government-bonds-work.297757/

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/the-bank-of-japan-ringing-in-the-endgame.297504/

    CPI - Japan

    cpi-jpy.JPG

    cot.JPG

    p.s.) After all, the negative interest rate caused Yen to appreciate...so I have to wait and observe the pre-announcement movement. The market opens with a gap...I may not trade this one.
     
    Last edited: Dec 18, 2016
    #28     Dec 18, 2016
  9. expiated

    expiated

    Long USDJPY @ 109.90

    UPDATE: The rate dropped down below 109.80.
    THIS would have been my ideal entry level—too bad for me.
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2018
    #29     Jun 19, 2018
  10. expiated

    expiated

    Thanks USDJPY, but I'm still not finished with you yet...

    ScreenHunter_8094 Jun. 19 10.23.jpg
     
    #30     Jun 19, 2018