USD selling off now

Discussion in 'Forex' started by uninvited_guest, Oct 16, 2005.

  1. It wouldn't hurt :)

    âîçìîæíî Âû ïîëó÷èòå øàíñ.

    (hint: right click, encoding, cyrillic-windows)
    #11     Oct 17, 2005
  2. Which means:

    "You might have a chance."

    (BTW, that particular trick only works in IE, not Firefox or Netscape.)
    #12     Oct 17, 2005
  3. Wrt Yen you've mentioned, I think Yen savers have given up waiting for BOJ banksters to stop destroying the value of Yen and jumped on gold.

    Gold is rallying against all confetti's despite being technically overbought.
    #13     Oct 17, 2005
  4. Chood


    Yen seemingly in no-win situation: if US economy hot enough to warrant more hawkishness by US Fed Reserve (the FOMC), then Yen suffers from carry preference for USD's higher interest rates. If US economy not as hot as expected, as true of Friday's inflation and consumer sentiment data, then Yen suffers from expectation of diminishing Japanese export strength.

    But "seemingly" is the operative word. The no-win sentiment can change rapidly. That's why, prior to tonight's Tokyo equities open, I will add to my Yen longs, buying two more near-month futures at .__8760 or cheaper (if price moves there), with stops to be set just north/just south of .__8700 (same as initial longs, bought at avg in 8795).
    #14     Oct 17, 2005
  5. Someone's killing the Yen right now. Though I swear I had nothing to do with it.
    #15     Oct 17, 2005
  6. :D :D :D
    #16     Oct 17, 2005
  7. Chood, I appreciate your thought process, but in your funnymental analysis you're leaving out the BOJ banksters.

    Central bankers of BOJ are cornered rats, having printing over $200bn worth of counterfeight money for their interventions and eventually they need to close that position.

    So it's probably them who are killing the Yen, trying/hoping to cover into the stops of hapless Yen bulls.

    Your best hope for a Yen long to work, is if Japanese people start a massive flight into precious metals, like it happened a few years ago, in which case the banksters will probably have to stop destroying the value of their confetti.
    #17     Oct 18, 2005
  8. well... I just sold 287-pips of yen over the last 3-weeks.

    Could I have something to do with it??

    #18     Oct 18, 2005
  9. Chood


    Your theory very clearly is better than mine at the moment.
    #19     Oct 18, 2005
  10. My theory: the U.S. is starting to lose credibility in controlling inflation. And the threat of another potential hurricane will force the feds to reconsider raising rates to battle inflation.
    #20     Oct 18, 2005