And it would take a little while for longer term traders to tp and reverse which would require rallies
here is my current forecast for US Dollar http://brokerarena.com/news/live-trading-analysis-23-01-2017/
My position is that three weeks ago the dollar trade was crowded. Now, not so much. I'm staying with the longer trend. Except GBP where the tape is still positive. But there too I'm looking for any failure.
Out of dollar long. I've learned not to fight the afternoon trend in anything. Tape was sneaking up again. Watching USD Jpy for a break down now. 113.20 is key on upside.
Finally a winner. I've really been off in my trading, doing stuff I don't normally do. Like trying to pick a top. Or fighting the momentum. When i go with, everything just becomes easier.