Usd/cad

Discussion in 'Forex' started by Ivanovich, Sep 30, 2005.

  1. I am still long, 3 progressively increasing scale-ins by now. As so often the case (!), leaving an existing order (1.12) intact would have been the slightly better thing to do, entry price-wise. Given my moderate sizing, combined with my having the best month ever, by far (up 45.6%), since managing OPM for nearly a year, CAD would have to strengthen against USD a lot more before I begin to feel serious heat. A sufficient retracement to exit at a modest profit is highly likely before then.

    Also, I've been long CAD/JPY (a historically strong proxy for the price of crude oil, of course) at larger size than normal for the last week. That has been providing a nice hedge, offsetting a portion of the drawdown from the long USD/CAD position. As long as you believe than we'll see $85+ oil sooner than we might've thought just a few weeks ago, CAD/JPY is still a longer-term buy at these levels, with really attractive risk/reward and positive carry to boot.
     
    #611     Apr 28, 2006
  2. I played the CAD/JPY game for awhile, too. It's an amazing play, IMHO.
     
    #612     Apr 28, 2006
  3. Market touched USD/CAD levels not seen since 1978 today. How unbelievable is that?

    I still cannot believe this mayhem.
     
    #613     Apr 28, 2006
  4. The lower it goes, the better the correction will be, and believe me, there will be a correction :)

    Ivan, what do you think will have to happen in order for this pair to stop it's massive decline? Seem's nothing right now can stop it.

    -Kastro
     
    #614     Apr 28, 2006
  5. Broke the June 1991 low

    -Kastro
     
    #615     May 1, 2006
  6. mgarc

    mgarc

    buying some USD/CAD here.
     
    #616     May 1, 2006
  7. This blood sucker is not quite done yet :)

    -Kastro
     
    #617     May 1, 2006
  8. Long, heavy @ 1.1129; Stop 1.1040

    We gotta see a fall back eventually.
     
    #618     May 1, 2006
  9. I went long as well, .1130.

    I haven't been in this pair for a while, but after seeing the change of heart in EUR/USD, a correction in CAD isn't far away.
     
    #619     May 1, 2006
  10. Deptrai

    Deptrai

    So how have you been, young man? I come back after 4 months away from this forum and instantly like the above quote from you.

    Deptrai
     
    #620     May 1, 2006