Usd/cad

Discussion in 'Forex' started by Ivanovich, Sep 30, 2005.

  1. Anyone going long soon? Ivan?

    -Kastro
     
    #571     Apr 9, 2006
  2. Long from 1.1463 on Friday. Current 1.1480, first TP 1.1575.
     
    #572     Apr 10, 2006
  3. I'm eyeing it, but not until the 1.13/1.21 dnt expires this afternoon.

    The .1440 support is key. I might buy in down there.
     
    #573     Apr 10, 2006
  4. On what basis have you gone long - oversold bounce???
     
    #574     Apr 10, 2006
  5. Well, I use a quant / statistical strategy, with TA and fundamentals in a supporting role, as a filter. To comment on the TA aspects here, we had a strong double bottom at 1.1438, across many time frames; nice, hard rejection at that level; sharp Bollinger Band penetration on the daily, which, worth noting, rarely lasts for CAD; and stochastic bottoming out and even diverging, depending on the time frame.

    It might fall below 1.1375 before a meaningful bounce. In that case, my strategy would call for adding to the long, as we get closer to the low 1.1300s. No hurry, on CAD, as long-time readers of this thread know...
     
    #575     Apr 10, 2006
  6. There's always the possibility of a breakout lower to the 1.12 mark - but if I'm a bettin' man, and I am (or else why would I play the FOREX market) the risk/reward is very low to short a low 1.14 level.
     
    #576     Apr 10, 2006
  7. I would wait for lower levels or short at the present time. With the backdrop of high gold/oil and firm jobs - I think this is supportive of CAD and the USD/CAD should go lower, i.e. sub 1.14
     
    #577     Apr 10, 2006
  8. wwx

    wwx

    Hi Ivan

    Can you possibly tell us where you obtained the dnt expiry info?

    Thanks!
     
    #578     Apr 11, 2006
  9. Just gone long at 1.145. New lows today and a lack of follow through. Tight Stop at 1.1420.
     
    #579     Apr 11, 2006
  10. Lucrum

    Lucrum

     
    #580     Apr 12, 2006