US Treasury Secretary says "No" to Future BTC Purchases

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by Baron, Aug 14, 2025 at 2:27 PM.

  1. Businessman

    Businessman


    You forgot the crash of 1937..

    "The 1937 stock market crash was a sharp economic downturn that occurred in the late 1930s, interrupting the recovery from the Great Depression. The stock market experienced a significant drop, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 50%."
     
    Ed48 likes this.
  2. Ed48

    Ed48

    You're right, and a comparable drawdown to 2008, except the bear market lasted longer (5 years vs 18 months).
    https://www.macrotrends.net/1319/dow-jones-100-year-historical-chart
     
    Businessman likes this.
  3. Businessman

    Businessman

    The chart you linked also shows a 47% crash in 1921.

    I think there would have been a 40%+ crash in 2022/2023 had ChatGPT not come out.

    I think the AI bubble still has a year or two to still run, before it finally pops.
     
    Ed48 likes this.
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Then ........... as always, the rebound after the "crash".
     
  5. Ed48

    Ed48

    Sure, eventually markets come back. But if you look at the above DJIA chart, drawdown recovery time can vary considerably.
     
  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Take out the biiiiiig outlier, the '29 crash, and drawdowns are not really so crazy.
     
  7. Businessman

    Businessman


    Dont have to go back that far, QQQ took almost 15 years, probably 20 years if you adjust for inflation, to get back to the dot com highs.
     
  8. Ed48

    Ed48

    If you scroll down to the inflation-adjusted DJIA chart, 1966-1982 wasn't a good time to be invested either. Took 30 years to get back to breakeven.

    Investor complacency is rampant. Stocks, cryptos etc are seen as a one-way ticket to riches. At least crypto investors have experienced bear markets. There hasn't been a nasty stock bear for 17 years. Most investors under 40 will never have been through one.