Unpresidented VIX Spike Suggests A Positive Week Ahead

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, May 9, 2010.

SPY Next Week

  1. Bullish

    34 vote(s)
    57.6%
  2. Flat

    4 vote(s)
    6.8%
  3. Bearish

    18 vote(s)
    30.5%
  4. I prefer not to say

    3 vote(s)
    5.1%
  1. I was expecting a modest gap up and took on a little risk over the weekend, but wow, +185 6E, +23 ES! Looks like they intend to blow out the stops on any remaining shorts. I guess when they decide to print $685 billion...
     
    #21     May 9, 2010
  2. #22     May 9, 2010
  3. Yeah dude the squeeze is on!!! Man the pain of buying the top dumping the bottom selling short the bottom then getting squeezed higher OMG there are piles of bodies laying around, eh!!!
     
    #23     May 9, 2010
  4. If you were holding large shorts over the weekend then you deserve all thats coming to you.
     
    #24     May 9, 2010
  5. Anybody holding shorts over the weekend likes playing with fire. At 10:20 pm Sunday, S&P futures are at +28.5.

    Long live the bulls !! :D
     
    #25     May 9, 2010
  6. SPY +4%

    two more days like that and it will hit new highs. last week never really happened, just a bad dream.
     
    #26     May 10, 2010
  7. Another nice call!

    I thought we might sell off harder this morning on such a huge gap, but the ES seems to have put in a low at 1148. IMO there's a chance we could rally even higher this week, maybe 1175 or even to 1200. I reckon the long side looks good until the VIX gets down to the low 20s.

    Another reason to be moderately bullish is that people only had 2 days to get long down around 1100ish. Most people were too scared and missed out. Now the market is higher and they are trapped sitting on cash. If we rally to 1175, 1190, 1200, they may feel pressure to buy to avoid "missing the move", and this could well cause a retest of the highs. This will then be time to book profits on longs.
     
    #27     May 10, 2010
  8. Sure it did.

    As for today, it's almost all GAP. as I write, SPY opened at 115.87 and presently is 116.13. That's thee.........eh........specialists in 500 stocks moving away from their long basis aquired wholesale on Thursday and Friday.

    Until SPY trades above 122.12, merely re-tracing where it's already been.

    Numerous stocks and ETF's trading near 55 day lows. Not exactly a reflection of strength.

    New highs had dwindled to just 16 on Friday and new lows has surpassed the 50 threshold.

    Added to my green shorts today since the gap is a gift.

    With hands extended, come join me in hammering MON into the teens.
     
    #28     May 10, 2010
  9. Let's see, $116.13 at 11 AM and closed at $116.16.

    Whoa.

    Number of new NYSE highs was 57.

    Double whoa.

    But tommorw's another day!
     
    #29     May 10, 2010
  10. probably won't be getting our customary 500 pt/10 min drop today. oh, well...
     
    #30     May 11, 2010