Universal Trend Trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by luckyputanski, Aug 4, 2011.

  1. Sold silver @ 32.92

    Account Value 208k
     
    #151     Mar 6, 2012
  2. Sold GbpUsd @ 1.5732

    Account Value 208k
     
    #152     Mar 7, 2012
  3. Besides the fact this hasn't been profitable, did the backtesting engine you modelled have a 60% drawdown? Is this still what your model showed or have you re-optimized? How much data did you use before you started to trade?
     
    #153     Mar 7, 2012
  4. Not sure what you mean by engine's drawdown, but yes, strategy had more than 60% drawdown before and current drawdown is confirmed when backtesting with most recent data. I did not optimized this system. I backtested it on 40 years of data of about 20 market and demo traded for a few months.
     
    #154     Mar 8, 2012
  5. Sold corn @ 635.58
    Sold wheat @ 635.88

    Account Value 205k
     
    #155     Mar 8, 2012
  6. That's way too much data. Daily data is more influenced by news and fundamentals if you're holding any longer than 5 trading days to up to 15 trading days.

    Might want to consider building an optimization engine for parametrizing your variables on a rolling 2 year monthly basis followed by stability testing and evaluating the walk-forwards.
     
    #156     Mar 8, 2012
  7. Strongly disagree about "too much data". If I could I would be using 100 years of data for backtest, simply to make sure the strategy is robust.
     
    #157     Mar 9, 2012
  8. Closed corn with loss -3385

    Account Value 208k
     
    #158     Mar 12, 2012
  9. Closed tnote with loss about -1500

    Account Value 224k
     
    #159     Mar 14, 2012
  10. Closed wheat with loss -2523

    Account Value 224k
     
    #160     Mar 15, 2012