Universal Based Income

Discussion in 'Economics' started by .sigma, Jan 24, 2020.

  1. notagain

    notagain

    automation has consequences
     
    #41     Jan 25, 2020
  2. ironchef

    ironchef

    There is no logical reason to stop UBI at $1000, is there?
     
    #42     Jan 26, 2020
  3. ironchef

    ironchef

    None of the cons are real according to MMT, Gov can just print money as long as the economy supports it.
     
    #43     Jan 26, 2020
  4. gaussian

    gaussian

    I feel like you are hinting at a UBI that increases to infinity over time. If so, I really don't think that is a point worth arguing. I really only mentioned $1000 as a talking point and if you read the rest of what I wrote I didn't lean on it heavily. It was just a useful fixture for the argument given Yang proposed it.

    I don't really have the qualifications to put a number on it. Much like $15/hr. might be too much for federal minimum wage, $1000 might be the wrong number for a UBI. I'm less interested in hard numbers and more interested in the philosophy of it. Personally, I would defer that to the people who know how to calculate that number. Given the discussion I'd rather not speculate. Perhaps it could be region based given CPI per state? Who knows.
     
    #44     Jan 26, 2020
  5. wave

    wave

  6. ironchef

    ironchef

    Not trying to give you a hard time, I was just asking a question. Seems to me if we want to implement UBI, at least start it at minimum annual income equal to minimum wage of say $15 an hour, or ~$2,500 a month. Otherwise, it is really not UBI.
     
    #46     Jan 28, 2020
  7. mt2rules

    mt2rules

    Lots of good discussion in this thread. I think the biggest problem with UBI is two fold: 1) Once it is put in place for $1,000, what stops the lower class from wanting it to be increased? 2) Many people say that the rich shouldn't receive it, but once you start choosing groups that don't receive it when does that stop? It seems way too likely to become an identity politics issue which would spiral downward quickly.
     
    #47     Jan 29, 2020
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  8. piezoe

    piezoe

    There is "wealth redistribution" in the opposite direction as well. It is indirect, and most people don't consider it when they mention wealth redistribution. It's presence is easy to identify, but it's cause is not as obvious. You will see it when you look at wealth distribution in the U.S. as a function of time. I maintain that the collapse of income tax brackets begun in the 1980s and only partially undone since is the major factor behind the redistribution of wealth upward; quite a few disagree with me however. Piketty says the fundamental reason is that the return on capital is greater than the aggregate, economic growth rate for a capitalist society. I certainly don't disagree with this, but I would point out that there is an acceleration of the upward redistribution in the U.S. identifiable as beginning sometime after 1971. I attribute this mainly to two causes. One is the compounded effect of slight increases in inflation associated with going off of the gold standard -- inflation does not affect all income quartiles equally -- and the other is a rather drastic collapse of income tax brackets in the 1980s that is still with us.

    As far as UBI goes, I think there may be something better, and that is the proposal of government as an employer of last resort put forth by some MMT economists. Among the benefits they propose are the elimination of unemployment and unemployment compensation. The minimum wage then becomes the minimum government wage, which is a living wage above the poverty level that the private sector would compete with. This is a decades old concept first broached after the Nixon Shock in 1971 when we transitioned from a currency gold standard to what became ,effectively, a labor standard, because labor and productivity were, at that time, closely linked. However now, in the age of automation, we are effectively on a productivity standard and it is unclear how the feasibility of the 'government as the employer of last resort' proposal might be effected by automation, which increases productivity at the same time it reduces employment.
     
    Last edited: Jan 29, 2020
    #48     Jan 29, 2020
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  9. gaussian

    gaussian

    I agree, when people talk about "wealth distribution" they always refer to giving money to the poor. They never consider corporate welfare (2008, 1991, 1980), nor do they consider massive tax breaks to the rich, etc. The ultra wealthy are as much welfare queens as the rest of us. It just feels nice to punch down.
     
    #49     Jan 29, 2020
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  10. piezoe

    piezoe

    Indeed. I didn't mention corporate welfare, but that is significant!
     
    #50     Jan 29, 2020
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