U.S. November ISM Manufacturing Index Falls to 49.5 From 51.2...first time since 2003

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by S2007S, Dec 1, 2006.

  1. S2007S


    U.S. November ISM Manufacturing Index Falls to 49.5 From 51.2

    By Courtney Schlisserman

    Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Manufacturing in the U.S. contracted for the first time in more than three years, taking away a pillar of economic growth.

    The Institute for Supply Management's factory index fell to 49.5, from 51.2 in October. A reading below 50 signals contraction.

    Automakers are cutting production to clear away inventories of unsold vehicles, while the slump in homebuilding is hurting demand for construction products. Today's report adds to evidence that lower factory demand may be deepening the economic slowdown, after a report earlier this week showed orders for durable goods were at a six-year low in October.

    ``We have a housing sector that's in recession and we have a manufacturing sector that's teetering on the brink here and this is problematic,'' said Carl Riccadonna, an economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York, before the report.

    Today's report contrasts with evidence of strength in European manufacturing. An index compiled by the Royal Bank of Scotland shows European manufacturing expanded for a 17th month during November. The index was at 56.6 in November after October's reading of 57. As with the U.S. index, a reading above 50 shows expansion.

    The U.S. group's measure of prices paid for raw materials rose to 53.5, from 47 the month before. October's measure was the lowest since February 2002.

    The prices paid measure was forecast to rise to 49.8, according to the median of economists' estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

    Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected the total manufacturing index to rise to 51.5. Estimates ranged from 49.5 to 53.6.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Courtney Schlisserman in Washington at cschlisserma@bloomberg.net .
    Last Updated: December 1, 2006 10:02 EST
  2. S2007S


    lets see where the markets trade on this report, both this and construction report are negative. Going to see how they can bring these markets into the green.
  3. they can ignore the coming recession no longer
  4. S2007S


    did you mean they can't ignore the coming recession no longer??
  5. Hey, I'm not seeing any "100% up room to go $$$ !" comments today, wonder what's going on.... LOL
  6. 100% down room to go $$$ !


    U.S. Manufacturing Contracts in November

    Published: December 1, 2006

    Filed at 11:11 a.m. ET

    NEW YORK (AP) -- The housing slump took a bite out of the nation's manufacturing sector, which in November contracted for the first time in more than three years, a trade group said Friday.

    Industries such as wood, paper, furniture and appliances all were flat or slipped last month, according to the Institute for Supply Management, based in Tempe, Ariz.

    In a report that points to a worrisome trend for the economy and for jobs, ISM said its manufacturing index registered 49.5 in November, behind October's reading of 51.2. The last time the sector contracted was in April 2003. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

    The sector had been growing for 41 consecutive months.

    November's index came in below the average analyst expectation for a reading of 52.

    The index was one of two troublesome economic reports Friday. The Commerce Department said construction activity in October plummeted by the largest amount since 2001, and home building fell for the seventh month in a row.

    Both reports raised concerns that the economy may be in for a hard landing. Stock prices fell in early trading Friday on Wall Street. The Dow Jones industrials fell 53.36, or 0.44 percent, to 12,168.57, while the Nasdaq composite index dropped 23.72, nearly 1 percent, to 2,408.05. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index sank 7.11, or 0.51 percent, to 1,393.52.

    Bond prices rose after the two reports, pushing the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down to 4.42 percent.

    The ISM report said that employment in the manufacturing sector shrank in November, with a 49.2 reading compared with 50.8 in October.

    The new orders index fell to 48.7 in November, compared with 52.1 in October. The production index also contracted, dropping to 48.5 from 51.9 last month.

    The prices paid index rose to 53.5, after falling to 47 in October. The prices paid index reflects raw materials costs to manufacturers. Prices had been falling until recently, after oil prices fell about 20 percent since the summer but have rebounded in the past few weeks.

    Pressure from raw materials prices is nothing new, said Mary Brebard, vice president of investor relations at auto parts supplier BorgWarner Inc.

    BorgWarner's operations are protected to some extent from the downturn in the U.S. by significant overseas operations, but in September the company still lowered its outlook and said it would lay off 850 workers due to cuts in North American auto production.

    The ISM and construction spending reports could be more pieces of the economic puzzle that would guide the Federal Reserve to either keep interest rates level, or perhaps cut short-term interest rates sooner than analysts were expecting. The Fed raised rates for the 17th consecutive time in June, but have held them at 5.25 percent since then.

    While the overall manufacturing sector contracted, eight industries reported growth in November. They included apparel and leather; plastics and rubber; primary metals; food, beverage and tobacco; computer and electronic products; printing; chemical products and the miscellaneous category.