U.S. Household Debt- Not a pretty picture at all

Discussion in 'Economics' started by vanzandt, Feb 22, 2017.

  1. vanzandt


    For Americans who believe that all is well with the economy, it may come as a rude shock to know that their household debt may be the cause of the trouble. The Federal Reserve Bank New York has made an official announcement that debt balances zoomed quite drastically in the last part of 2016. The last quarter of the year posted a rather shocking $12.58 trillion in household debt, says the newest quarterly report from the Fed.

    Nearing the recession time debt

    In a record that is best not achieved, the household debt almost touched the number posted during the worst of the recession way back in 2008. In Q4 of 2016, overall debt rose by some $225 billion, taking it to a point just below the peak that we witnessed in the recession days, during the Q3 of 2008.

    The main reasons for rising debt

    Tracing back the numbers, it becomes evident that most people took on increased debt through home purchases or to refinance their home mortgage. In the fourth quarter of 2016 alone, mortgages contributed to nearly $620 billion of the overall debt taken on. Interestingly, this was the most that people borrowed for this purpose since the days of the recession. While this might be great news for the real estate and housing sector, since it indicates confidence, it is not good news for the public to know that household debt is rising at an alarming rate.

    Auto loans add to the numbers

    Real estate is not the only culprit in this scenario because auto loans have posted steady increases during the same period as well. While car manufacturers enjoyed the spurt in sales, the increase in a number of transactions also resulted in a record number of auto loans being generated. The interesting trend among both new home loans and new auto loans is that it was borrowers with solid credentials that accounted for the majority of loans.

    Experts believe that the debt is only going to grow some more in the coming months and they also point out that while home loans may be the biggest contributor to debt, student loans play a significant role in keeping household debts high. And this debt has only risen on a consistent basis over the past years, overtaking both auto loans and credit cards to become a major cause of household debt at present.
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  2. Defaults and interest rates would be the things to now watch for.
  3. Arnie


    It would be nice to know how it compares to household wealth.
  4. SkyChef


    Debt distribution vs household wealth distribution is a better picture of a society & its economy.
    777 and Money Trust like this.
  5. lylec305


    Obama's administration says unemployment is 4% and the American people are doing better under his administration and inflation is minimal. President Trump says he has inherited a mess. I believe the later is true.
  6. wartrace


    0 debt here. No loans of any kind outstanding; helps me sleep well at night. :)
    dealmaker likes this.
  7. Jesus, I didn't know about that. Definitely gonna explore more about this topic.
  8. jj90


    Oh sorry guys. I had to take out some cash to buy more FB because the stock market only goes 1 way. The other couple of billions I spent on hookers, blow, funding special interest groups and ISIS(they are just misunderstood!).
  9. trdes


    Just fyi for anyone thinking about shorting the markets based on economics. If you know what you're doing by all means don't let me stop you, just keep in mind even if you're a genius and figure it out, not many other people are. Which means they will keep buying and buying right up until we have a correction or reset cycle, so make sure you're well versed, well capitalized and/or great timing.
    Gotcha and Money Trust like this.
  10. dealmaker


    "A bull market is like sex. It feels best just before it ends.''

    - Warren Buffett
    #10     Feb 22, 2017
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