U.S. Consumer: On Life Support

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by ByLoSellHi, May 10, 2007.

  1. U.S. Retailers' April Sales Dip on Earlier Easter (Update2)


    By Heather Burke

    May 10 (Bloomberg) --
    Sales at U.S. retailers declined last month, trailing already-reduced estimates, as an earlier Easter shifted gift purchases into March and the coldest April in a decade curbed sales of lightweight clothing.

    Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, said sales fell 3.5 percent, trailing its forecast for a decline of as much as 2 percent. Sales at stores open at least a year also fell at Federated Department Stores Inc. and Gap Inc.

    Easter was eight days earlier than in 2006, prompting some shoppers to make most holiday purchases in March. The coldest April in a decade and more than average amounts of rain and snow crimped sales of shorts, dresses and other spring clothing.

    ``Easter took some sales from April into March,'' Steven Baumgarten, an analyst at PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia, said May 8. ``You aren't thinking about buying the new bathing suit when there's an ice storm outside.'' The firm manages $54 billion, including shares of Wal-Mart and J.C. Penney Co.

    U.S. April sales may post a ``small dip,'' which would be the first decline in four years, the International Council of Shopping Centers said May 8. Previously it had forecast unchanged April sales. Same-store sales are an industry benchmark used to measure the health of older stores. The ICSC, a New York-based trade group, tracks sales at about 60 chains.

    March sales climbed 5.9 percent, the biggest monthly gain since April 2006.

    Shares of Wal-Mart lost 43 cents to $47.50 as of 9:16 a.m. in New York, Federated dropped 42 cents to $43.40 and Gap slipped 42 cents to $18.01.

    Coldest Since 1997

    Last month was the coldest April since 1997 in the U.S., the wettest in four years and the snowiest in more than 14 years, according to Weather Trends International, a Bethlehem, Pennsylvania-based firm. The Northeast and North Central states were especially hit by snow, the firm said.

    Retail spending may have also been hampered by higher gasoline prices. The average price of a gallon of unleaded gasoline rose to $3.05 for the week ended May 7, the highest since September 2005, the U.S. Energy Department said.

    April same-store sales estimates from had already been lowered, according to Swampscott, Massachusetts-based Retail Metrics Inc., a research firm that provides analyst estimates.

    Wal-Mart, Federated

    Wal-Mart said cooler weather hurt demand. Sales this month and in the second quarter may rise 1 percent to 2 percent, the Bentonville, Arkansas-based company said today.

    Federated, the second-largest department store company, said sales at stores open at least a year declined 2.2 percent, missing analysts' estimate for an increase of 1.2 percent.

    Chief Executive Officer Terry Lundgren said sales were disappointing at both its older stores and the former May Department Store Co. stores it converted to the Macy's name in September. The Cincinnati-based retailer said sales in May would be unchanged to down 2 percent.

    Sales slumped 16 percent at Gap, the largest U.S. clothing retailer, missing analysts' estimate for a drop of 7 percent, according to data compiled by Retail Metrics.

    April sales at J.C. Penney Co. fell 4.7 percent. Analysts expected a loss of 0.9 percent, according to Retail Metrics. The company said March and April sales were ``distorted'' by the shift of Easter into the March sales period.

    Limited, American Eagle

    Limited Brands Inc., the owner of Victoria's Secret and Express, said sales fell 1 percent, trailing the estimate for a 1.2 percent gain. American Eagle Outfitters Inc., a teen- clothing retailer, said yesterday that April same-store sales fell 10 percent. Analysts estimated an increase of 1.4 percent.

    Sales at Seattle-based Nordstrom Inc. gained 3.1 percent, short of the analyst estimate of 4 percent. Neiman Marcus Group Inc. said sales rose 1 percent.

    Shares of J.C. Penney, the third-largest department-store company, fell 71 cents to $77.50 and American Eagle declined 48 cents to $28.50. Limited shares added 60 cents to $28.61.

    The Standard & Poor's 500 Retailing Index of 30 companies climbed 1.3 percent yesterday. It has risen 4.6 percent this year, compared with a 6.7 percent gain at the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

    ``April 2007 is likely to go in the record books as a lousy month,'' Mark Montagna, an analyst covering Gap and other apparel retailers at CL King & Associates in New York, wrote in a May 8 note.

    Exceeding Forecasts

    Not all retailers trailed forecasts. Saks Inc. said sales jumped 12 percent, helped by sales of women's apparel, handbags and shoes. Results exceeded the 6.8 estimate. Saks forecast ``low-double digit'' sales growth for the second quarter.

    Target Corp., the second-largest U.S. discount chain, said April sales declined 6.1 percent, while analysts predicted a drop of 6.4 percent. The Minneapolis-based retailer originally forecast a decline of 2 percent to 4 percent. Target last month reduced its prediction, saying sales would be ``much weaker'' than it expected.

    Costco Wholesale Corp., the largest U.S. warehouse club, said April same-store sales climbed 7 percent, exceeding the 6.2 percent estimate.

    U.S. retailers are expected to report May sales on June 7. Sears Holdings Corp., the biggest U.S. department-store retailer, doesn't report monthly sales.
  2. john12


    he might be on life support but the market could give 2 shits. retail holders up and still near and all time high
  3. Give it time.

    It will get worse.

    Check out savings rate and credit union/bank money transfer data.
  4. MattF


    It'll show more if the next round is down as well...
  5. I believe the statement is true. Most of the gains in net worth have been due to the housing bubble in the last few years. Now they we are in to the hangover phase there is no refinance let's go buy an SUV. I wouldn't want to be in Ben's shoes. Do you kill the housing market or the dollar, which is it?

    Life support may be extreme though. Recession or Stagflation yes.