Tulips are the next big thing. Seriously, it's different this time.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by johnnyrock, Jan 29, 2021.

  1. Tulips
    scarcity: F (very elastic supply over the long term)
    durability: F
    divisibility: F
    fungibility: F
    recognizability: B
    portability: D
    acceptability: D
     
    #11     Jan 29, 2021
  2. Bitcoin
    scarcity: A+ (absolute supply limit with greater certainty than any other asset)
    durability: A+
    divisibility: A+
    fungibility: A- (a bitcoin address can be tainted by association with illegal transactions, same as fiat)
    recognizability: A+ (easy to prove the quality & quantity of reserves unlike gold and rehypothecated fiat-based assets)
    portability: A+
    acceptability: C (catching up with fiat, already past it in hyperinflation countries)
     
    #12     Jan 29, 2021
    zghorner likes this.
  3. %%
    Good thing for the stock traders/investors;
    bit con has nothing to do with it\ but with slow news days they could stop that game also.Plenty of them have /LOL
    I would not pay $175 for a can of sardines /but as LBR says ''them sardines are for trading''LOL
     
    #13     Jan 29, 2021

  4. I would rather own tulips than GE, GM, Wells, BAC, Nikola, Sears, JC Penny...ect
    America has a whole pile of dog shit companies being held up by Fed support. And they are some Dim Bulbs..by the way, have you priced fresh tulips in Amsterdam lately?
     
    #14     Jan 29, 2021
    zghorner likes this.
  5. I tried to paste that chart on Tesla, when it supposedly peaked in February last year... it did not turn out well. I tried pasting that chart again in September after they split... it also did not turn out well. Everyone wants to be Nostradamus. Im not touching that chart again. It works until it doesn’t
     
    #15     Jan 29, 2021
    adamovicm and zghorner like this.
  6. maxinger

    maxinger

    Traders & investors don't like the Tulip Mania blowoff case.


    It is not because they will be losing tons of money.
    It is because they will find it very hard to earn tons of money.

    When the bubble burst,
    there will be huge traffic / volume.
    Charting software and trading platform will freeze.
    The market movement will be very chaotic, messy, erratic, irrational,
    spiky .... hence making trading very difficult.

    Swing traders might do better than day traders.
    But then their STOPs have to be wide.

    But if the day traders manage to trade those not so
    chaotic products, then they are in luck.

    Long term investors might be weeping and gnashing their teeth
    in despair.
     
    #16     Jan 29, 2021
  7. johnnyrock

    johnnyrock

    I'm not saying that at all. What I am specifically pointing out is this. When everyone believes this time is different, when everyone can make easy money (which is a reality), be on the lookout for a sea change. When that happens, it will be evident in the chart. Good news will bring bad price action. The easiest and fastest money to make is when the market starts rolling over and trends downward. All of the talk show hosts, til tokkers and cam girls that are day traders only have one play. More than likely many of them are margined to the hilt, borrowing money from their 401k and family to leverage this mania. When it reverses the leverage if the pros who are wrong and the public will get margin calls. Good positions will have to be sold to meet those calls (holding losers that they think are winners) and the market will fall quickly.

    Keep buying my friend. You're probably right!
     
    #17     Jan 30, 2021
    VanHalen666 and fidgetcube like this.
  8. I am old enough to remember the dotcom mania... and I remember quite well the financial crisis, as I was a credit risk manager in a bank with their counterparty credit risk department. The housing bubble was obvious at the time. What was not obvious was what was underneath and the ramifications of the crisis. Same this time. The bubble is obvious hut who know how it will unfold. Heck, we don’t even know how all the GME thing will end.
     
    #18     Jan 30, 2021
    johnnyrock and zghorner like this.