TSS - Puts and Options Vol

Discussion in 'Trading' started by livevol_ophir, Jan 15, 2010.

  1. livevol_ophir

    livevol_ophir ET Sponsor

    TSS is a $3 billion global commerce solutions company. Note the earnings date is 1/20/2010 AMC.

    The company has traded over 2,300 puts today in the first three hours on total daily average option volume of just 211.
    The trading action is in the Feb 15 puts - over 2,100 have traded; purchases for 0.15 and 0.20. Note the OI (open interest) is just 61 - these are openng put purchases less than a week before earnings. The day's biggest trades and Options Tab snapshots are included in the article.

    From the summary in the article you can see that the historical vol has beeen around 13 (HV10&#8482, HV20&#8482 and HV30&#8482) while the IV30&#8482 is over 30. The day's biggest trades snapshot demonstrates that these puts were trading 36-40 vol. The Charts Tab snapshot is included in the article for reference - notice the divergence between HV10&#8482 (white line), HV20&#8482 (blue line) and the IV30&#8482 (red line).

    The Charts Tab snapshot also illustrates the gap down in stock price after last earnings release. The Earnings & Dividends tab illustrates that on the 4/28 and 7/28 earnings cycles, the ATM straddles actually moved up - i.e. underlying moved so much a back spread was a winner. The 1/27 and 10/27 cycles were the opposite - front spreading was a winner.

    You can see details, trades, prices, vols and charts here:
    http://livevol.blogspot.com/2010/01/tss-is-3-billion-global-commerce.html