Trump holds 'MAGA' rally in Orlando to kick off 2020 campaign

Tony Stark · Jun 19, 2019

https://miami.cbslocal.com/2019/06/18/quinnipiac-poll-biden-sanders-lead-trump-in-florida/

Quinnipiac Poll: Biden, Sanders Lead Trump In Florida

MIAMI (CBSMiami) – One of the most trusted polls for measuring public opinion has former Vice President Joseph Biden leading President Donald Trump in Florida.

The independent Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday, shows Biden leading Trump by a margin of 50 to 41 percent.

The same poll also shows Vermont US Senator Bernie Sanders leading Trump by 48 to 42 percent.

Other matchups between Trump and other leading Democratic contenders show:

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 47 percent to Trump’s 43 percent;

California Sen. Kamala Harris at 45 percent to Trump’s 44 percent;

Former Texas U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke at 45 percent to Trump’s 44 percent;

44 percent for South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg to 43 percent for Trump.The poll also reveals:

Biden leads 58 – 34 percent among women, as men go 49 percent for Trump and 42 percent for Biden.

Trump leads 52 – 42 percent among white voters, while Biden leads 79 – 9 percent among black voters and 57 – 32 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 – 7 percent. Biden leads 91 – 3 percent among Democrats and 54 – 32 percent among independent voters.

Most Florida voters, 54 percent, say they are better off financially today than they were in 2016, as 23 percent say they are worse off.

Florida voters still give Trump a negative 44 – 51 percent job approval rating, his best approval rating in the state since he was elected and up from a negative 41 – 53 percent score in a March 14 Quinnipiac University poll.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,279 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Tony Stark · Jun 19, 2019

Florida is one of the swing states Trump has the best chances of winning but ex felons will be allowed to vote there for the first time in 2020. Ralph Northems and Tim Kaines winning margin in Virginia was 5 and 10 points higher than Obamas and Hillarys after Virginia starting allowing ex felons to vote in 2017.

WeToddDid2 · Jun 19, 2019

Tony Stark said:
https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/19/politics/fact-check-trump-orlando-rally/index.html

Fact check: Trump's Orlando rally featured more than 15 false claims over 76 minutes

By Daniel Dale, CNN

Washington (CNN)President Donald Trump kicked off his formal reelection campaign Tuesday night with a rally in Orlando. His 76-minute speech featured more than 15 false statements, many of them ones that he's repeated frequently in the past.

http://fortune.com/2019/06/18/trump-speech-orlando-rally-fact-check/

Jobs, Veterans, Taxes: Fact Checking Trump's Speech at Orlando Rally

President Donald Trump boasted with abandon in launching his 2020 re-election campaign, overreached in excoriating his critics and promised progress on his border wall and health care that is improbable at best.

In those respects, his latest campaign rally was much like any other by the president.

Here’s a look at his rhetoric from Orlando, Florida, on Tuesday night:

JOBS

TRUMP: “Almost 160 million people are working. That’s more than ever before.”

THE FACTS: Yes, but that’s not a feather in a president’s cap. More people are working primarily because there are more people. Population growth drives this phenomenon.

Other than during recessions, employment growth has been trending upward since 1939, when the Labor Department started counting.

The annual rate of job growth is 1.6% through May. That rate has been within the same range since roughly 2011.

Another measure is the proportion of Americans with jobs, and that is still below record highs.

According to Labor Department data, 60.6 percent of people in the United States 16 years and older were working in May. That’s below the all-time high of 64.7 percent in April 2000 during Bill Clinton’s administration, though higher than the 59.9 percent when Trump was inaugurated in January 2017.

TRUMP: “Women’s unemployment is now the lowest it’s been in 74 years.”

THE FACTS: The jobless rate for women was 3.1% in April, the lowest in 66 years — not Trump’s 74 years. It ticked up in May to 3.2%.

ECONOMY

TRUMP: “It’s soaring to incredible new heights. Perhaps the greatest economy we’ve had in the history of our country.”

THE FACTS: The economy is not one of the best in the country’s history.

The economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the first quarter of this year. That growth was the highest in just four years for the first quarter.

In the late 1990s, growth topped 4 percent for four straight years, a level it has not yet reached on an annual basis under Trump. Growth even reached 7.2 percent in 1984.

While the economy has shown strength, it grew 2.9% in 2018 — the same pace it reached in 2015 under President Barack Obama — and simply hasn’t hit historically high growth rates. Trump has legitimate claim to a good economy but it’s not a record-breaker and it flows from an expansion that began in mid-2009.

THE WALL

TRUMP: “We’re going to have over 400 miles of wall built by the end of next year. It’s moving very rapidly.”

THE FACTS: That’s highly unlikely, and even if so, the great majority of the wall he’s talking about would be replacement barrier, not new miles of construction. Trump has added strikingly little length to barriers along the Mexico border despite his pre-eminent 2016 campaign promise to get a wall done.

Even to reach 400 miles or 640 kilometers, he would have to prevail in legal challenges to his declaration of a national emergency or get Congress to find more money to get anywhere close.

So far, the administration has awarded contracts for 247 miles (395 km) of wall construction, but that initiative has been constrained by court cases that are still playing out.

In any event, all but 17 miles (27 km) of his awarded contracts so far would replace existing barriers.

TAXES

TRUMP: “We’ve done so much … with the biggest tax cut in history.”

THE FACTS: His tax cuts are nowhere close to the biggest in U.S. history.

It’s a $1.5 trillion tax cut over 10 years. As a share of the total economy, a tax cut of that size ranks 12th, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. President Ronald Reagan’s 1981 cut is the biggest, followed by the 1945 rollback of taxes that financed World War II.

Post-Reagan tax cuts also stand among the historically significant: President George W. Bush’s cuts in the early 2000s and President Barack Obama’s renewal of them a decade later.

ENVIRONMENT
TRUMP: “Our air and water are the cleanest they’ve ever been by far.”

THE FACTS: Not true about air quality, which hasn’t gotten better under the Trump administration.

U.S. drinking water is among the best by one leading measure.

After decades of improvement, progress in air quality has stagnated. Over the last two years the U.S. had more polluted air days than just a few years earlier, federal data show.

There were 15% more days with unhealthy air in America both last year and the year before than there were on average from 2013 through 2016, the four years when America had its fewest number of those days since at least 1980.

The Obama administration, in fact, set records for the fewest air polluted days, in 2016.

On water, Yale University’s global Environmental Performance Index finds 10 countries tied for the cleanest drinking water, the U.S. among them. On environmental quality overall, the U.S. was 27th, behind a variety of European countries, Canada, Japan, Australia and more. Switzerland was No. 1.

JUDGES
TRUMP on the nomination of federal judges: “President Obama was very nice to us. He didn’t fill the positions.”

THE FACTS: Trump’s sarcasm aside, he does have a better success rate than Obama in filling judicial vacancies. The Republican-controlled Senate in Obama’s last two years avoided taking action on many of his nominees. Republicans still control the Senate and have been able to confirm many of Trump’s picks despite their slim majority.

Of the 71 people whom Obama nominated to the district courts and courts of appeals in 2015 and 2016, only 20 were voted on and confirmed, said Russell Wheeler, an expert on judicial nominees at the Brookings Institution. Trump entered office in January 2017 with more than 100 vacancies on the federal bench, about double the number Obama had in 2009.

The Heritage Foundation has tracked 119 judges confirmed for Trump as of last week. This compares with 86 for Obama and 132 for George W. Bush at the same point in their presidencies.

Republicans limited the debate time on nominees this year so now they move through judicial confirmations faster than before.

Such maneuverings have nothing to do with Obama being “very nice.”

TRADE
TRUMP on his tariffs: “We are taking in billions and billions of dollars into our treasury. … We had never taken 10 cents from China.”

THE FACTS: Tariff money coming into the treasury is mainly from U.S. businesses and consumers, not from China. Tariffs are primarily if not entirely a tax paid domestically.

A study in March by economists from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Columbia University and Princeton University, before Trump raised tariffs even more, found that the public and U.S. companies were paying $3 billion a month in higher taxes from the trade dispute with China, suffering $1.4 billion a month in lost efficiency and absorbing the entire impact.

It’s also false that the U.S. never collected a dime in tariffs before he took action. Tariffs on goods from China are not remotely new. They are simply higher in some cases than they were before.

HEALTH CARE
TRUMP: “We will always protect patients with pre-existing conditions. Always.”

THE FACTS: He’s not protecting current legal safeguards for patients with pre-existing medical conditions, which are part of “Obamacare.”

His administration instead is pressing in court for full repeal of Obama’s health care law, including other popular provisions such as coverage for young adults on their parents’ insurance, Medicaid expansion, health insurance subsidies and preventive care at no additional charge to the patient.

Trump and other Republicans say they’ll have a plan to preserve protections for people with pre-existing conditions, but the White House has provided no details.

Obama’s law requires insurers to take all applicants, regardless of medical history, and patients with health problems pay the same standard premiums as healthy ones. Bills supported in 2017 by Trump and congressional Republicans to repeal the law would have undermined those protections by pushing up costs for people with pre-existing conditions.

ABORTION
TRUMP: “Leading Democrats have even opposed measures to prevent the execution of children after birth.”

THE FACTS: Executing children is already a crime.

Trump is offering here a somewhat toned down version of a distorted story he’s been telling for months that falsely suggests Democrats are OK with murder.

His account arises from extremely rare instances when babies are born alive as a result of an attempted abortion. When these cases occur, “execution” is not an option.

When a baby is born with anomalies so severe that he or she would die soon after birth, a family may choose what’s known as palliative care or comfort care. This might involve allowing the baby to die naturally without medical intervention. Providing comfort without life-extending treatment is not specific to newborns. It may happen with fatally ill patients of any age.

VETERANS
TRUMP: “We passed VA Choice. …They’ve been trying to get that passed also for about 44 years.”

THE FACTS:
No, Congress approved the private-sector Veterans Choice health program in 2014 and Obama signed it into law. Trump signed an expansion of it.
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Twist and spin stats to fit a libtard narrative and then call them facts. That is complete bullshit. Anyone with over a 60 IQ can see right through it.

WeToddDid2 · Jun 19, 2019

Tony Stark said:
Florida is one of the swing states Trump has the best chances of winning but ex felons will be allowed to vote there for the first time in 2020. Ralph Northems and Tim Kaines winning margin in Virginia was 5 and 10 points higher than Obamas and Hillarys after Virginia starting allowing ex felons to vote in 2017.
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Apparently, you completely missed the whole criminal justice reform law.

Tony Stark · Jun 19, 2019

WeToddDid2 said:
Twist and spin stats
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Coming from a Trump supporter lol

WeToddDid2 · Jun 19, 2019

Tony Stark said:
Coming from a Trump supporter lol
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Can you even make an argument or are you only capable of copying and pasting arguments like a parrot?

Tony Stark · Jun 19, 2019

WeToddDid2 said:
Apparently, you completely missed the whole criminal justice reform law.
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More democrat voters

Tony Stark · Jun 19, 2019

WeToddDid2 said:
Can you even make an argument or are you only capable of copying and pasting arguments like a parrot?
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A supporter of the biggest liar/ fact twister in presidential history complaining about twisting facts speaks for itself.

Tsing Tao · Jun 19, 2019

WeToddDid2 said:
Can you even make an argument or are you only capable of copying and pasting arguments like a parrot?
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There hasn't been a single post from Tony that I can recall in recent memory where I went "huh, that's actually a good point." It's one step above exGOPer spam.

Optionpro007 · Jun 20, 2019

Tsing Tao said:
There hasn't been a single post from Tony that I can recall in recent memory where I went "huh, that's actually a good point." It's one step above exGOPer spam.
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This is very true. Tony, as many others, will prefer to believe what CNN prepares for all its liberal kool-aid drinkers than watching the speech to make personal authentic conclusions. Very shortsighted liberal mindset, or fearful of not wanting to hear the truth.