Trump delivers again; bans immigration from 7 Muslim countries.

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Greenie, Jan 28, 2017.

  1. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    ZZzz1/Volpunter
     
    #221     Jan 31, 2017
  2. fhl

    fhl

    [​IMG]
     
    #222     Jan 31, 2017
  3. Zzzz1

    Zzzz1

    Sure. Look at the popular voting results. Next look at how Rasmussen reports how Democrat leaning people they asked think about the ban. From there you can deduce that they have not surveyed a mixed type of people but mostly Republican leaning ones. The first metric (popular vote) is a factually true and verified number. How Democrats think of the ban Rasmussen itself reported (34% in favor, it's in their report). So how did they get to 57% total of all respondents favoring the ban unless they asked more non Democrat leaning respondents? Sometimes math and basic statistics greatly help.

     
    #223     Jan 31, 2017
  4. Zzzz1

    Zzzz1

    #224     Jan 31, 2017
  5. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Maybe because independents are strongly in favor of the ban? It's not just Republicans and Democrats, you know, right? Sometimes an understanding of polling greatly helps.
     
    #225     Jan 31, 2017
  6. Zzzz1

    Zzzz1

    Right, of course Rasmussen conveniently omitted that metric lol.

     
    #226     Jan 31, 2017
  7. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    #227     Jan 31, 2017
  8. Zzzz1

    Zzzz1

    #228     Jan 31, 2017
  9. Zzzz1

    Zzzz1

    It's pretty clear that Rasmussen is right leaning. And they were the one with the largest polling error ever among all other polling services (Hawaii) before getting the Trump election more right than others. Each time they surveyed a race where a Democrat was leading their error was larger than the one of most others

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-rasmussen-reports-biased/
    https://www.theguardian.com/comment...up-rasmussen-polling-outliers-lean-republican
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...e-for-the-common-poll/?utm_term=.e2fc13e03064


     
    #229     Jan 31, 2017
  10. fhl

    fhl

    [​IMG]
     
    #230     Jan 31, 2017
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