Trend or Range: How to Know in Advance

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by schizo, Sep 7, 2024.

  1. oshjdf

    oshjdf

    On a frame (time-based/data-based), price is alternating between trending and ranging. Ranging can only be known only after it happen. The only way, in my experience, to detect potential ranging will happen is divergence in oscillator indicator.

    Price movement is fractal. Price can be ranging on a frame but trending on higher and lower frames.
     
    #81     Sep 9, 2024
  2. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    schizo how far in advance do you need to succeed?
     
    #82     Sep 9, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  3. schizo

    schizo

    Just 1 bar in advance. But don't worry, I'm not here to divulge it. I plan to take it to my grave. LOL
     
    #83     Sep 9, 2024
  4. schizo

    schizo

    Avalanche too starts with a small snow ball. Whether it's a fractal of random movement or not, there's definitely a cascade of reactions as the damn things becomes an avalanche with every second. By the same token, you might have been the catalyst, but the trend will be created ultimately by those higher up, eg. higher TF
     
    #84     Sep 9, 2024
  5. Darc

    Darc

    What about Whyckoff and trading Options when one has NFI, I've heard that's a fast track to a Lambo?
     
    #85     Sep 9, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  6. schizo

    schizo

    You mean those masters of hindsight analysis? LMAO

    Anyway, I promised not to get off track, so quit asking BS questions.
     
    #86     Sep 9, 2024
    Darc likes this.
  7. Hello schizo,

    Accurate do you need to know when range or trend is coming everyday?

    Do you need to always get it right?

    What are you trying to do here man?
     
    #87     Sep 9, 2024
  8. schizo

    schizo

    Since some of you actually like hindsight analysis, why don't we do that. This is the 5-minute chart of ES today.

    upload_2024-9-9_15-53-20.png

    Now let's break it down into 4 sections by corresponding trend. Could you have anticipated the trend in advance? I drew in the support/resistance for reference.

    This first one would have been tricky in real time, although in hindsight I see it clearly.

    upload_2024-9-9_15-54-5.png

    This second chart should be obvious.

    upload_2024-9-9_15-54-26.png

    This following chart also lined up pretty much to the T to previous S/R.

    upload_2024-9-9_15-54-48.png

    And finally, it retraces back up to the previous S/R. At least that's what you should have done. But I also don't discount the fact that everything is so much easier in hindsight. :)

    upload_2024-9-9_15-55-11.png
     
    #88     Sep 9, 2024
  9. Dollardogs

    Dollardogs

    Posts like this are why you remain my favorite poster on here.
     
    #89     Sep 9, 2024
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  10. Good Morning Dollardogs,

    Thank you buddy.

    All I can do is be honest and share my thoughts and experiences in the lion's den of trading.

    I approach trading day-to-day with only 1 objective, get rich quickly, and eat every night while getting rich quickly.
     
    #90     Sep 10, 2024