Trend Following "SUPER FUND" down

super fund down on the year:

Series A03.31.20091,894.62 -2.33 %-1.95 %


Series B03.31.20092,526.24-4.49 %-2.87 %

 

any serious professional knows that "trend following" is a not viable strategy in the long run because trends only exist in hindsight.

on the other hand, any so-called trend following system, would have to perform well in the present due to the impressive swings in the market.

now, it appears not only the fund is based on a false premise but rather it also fails miserably exploiting it when the conditions are favorable to do so.

:eek:

 

But they do exist, and if they exist then they can be traded.

 

AGREED.

It's best to buy support / sell resistance & keep some "runners." If a "trend" develops...all the better! =)

 

I never heard of this strategy, is this new...

 

buying lows and selling highs is how fortunes are made.

surf

 

And it's also a quick way to the poor house if you don't know what you are doing....

 

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For 2008 Series B: Jan... -3.61%
Feb... +24.60%
Mar... +1.95%
Apr... -1.20%
May... +7.33&
June... +12.54%
July... -15.00%
Aug... -7.28%
Sep... +0.46%
Oct... +20.14%
Nov... +2.78%
Dec... +2.60%
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Annual for 2008 ... +46.56%
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Only first quarter of 2009 Marketsurfer, game not over.
If last year you only look at 3rd quarter, it is a loss.

 

so is "trend following".

 

you must be joking!!! Pretty much ALL the funds that have a track record of 10+ years and which beat pretty much every hedge fund on this planet in terms of returns per risk unit are TREND FOLLOWING vehicles. Show me a hedge fund that made 60-70% returns per annum over 10 years+ other than through trend following. I show you at least a dozen trend following funds.