Trend Following dying?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by JezLiberty, Feb 17, 2010.

  1. Perhaps you can answer, as Mr. Black ignores this question, is the chart channel dynamic or fixed?
     
    #231     Feb 23, 2010
  2. If you'd be so kind to clarify, or rather define precisely what you mean by dynamic and fixed chart channel - I will try to do my best. Otherwise, I am afraid I have no idea what you mean and whatever my response would be - it wouldn't answer your question.
     
    #232     Feb 23, 2010
  3. this thread has a 5 star rating . . . :confused: . . . lol
     
    #233     Feb 23, 2010
  4. @romanus

    Please note this question and the charts it referenced on page 37 and 38 of this thread. the first entry chart clearly shows the entry when the price bar pierced the lower channel line. the second chart depicting the same entry shows the same channel shifted to where the same entry bar does not pierce the lower channel line at entry. Hence my querry about dynamic channels. thank you TINS
     
    #234     Feb 23, 2010
  5. #235     Feb 23, 2010
  6. Trend following never worked in the past (in the long run).

    By the time a trend is signalled, it already happened.
    Besides, you get many fake signals.
     
    #236     Feb 23, 2010
  7. These guys disagree with you:

    Abraham Trading Company:

    http://www.iasg.com/group/abraham-trading-company/diversified

    EMC:

    http://www.iasg.com/group/emc-capital-management/classic

    Transtrend:

    http://www.iasg.com/group/transtrend/transtrend-diversified-trend-program-enhanced-risk-usd

    Winton:

    http://www.iasg.com/group/winton-capital-management/diversified

    Eckhardt:

    http://www.iasg.com/group/eckhardt-trading-company/standard


    In fact I am thinking getting into Transtrend right now... they're on sale
     
    #237     Feb 23, 2010

  8. I wouldn't reccomend it. All having drawdowns, what happened to Winton? THey stopped reporting in November.

    :D
     
    #238     Feb 23, 2010
  9. In this particular instance, from my personal and highly subjective viewpoint, the black and green trendlines represent the same thing and the green one is fanned (decellerated) as price is moving inside the blue lateral. In the absense of the blue lateral, the green and black would've represented two different things. Since, I personally wouldn't have taken the trade while the price is inside the lateral, Mr. Black's view on this subject would be more beneficial to you then mine.
    [​IMG]
     
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    #239     Feb 23, 2010
  10. Why didn't you start the lateral at the point 2 bar?
     
    #240     Feb 23, 2010